Navistar acquisition matrix (with and without run-rate synergies) Based on Management Case #1 ($ in
millions, except per share) Source: Company Filings, Navistar Management Case #1 Projections, Bloomberg.2020E net debt of $1,833mm per management estimates; preferred stock of $2mm, minority interest of $2mm, and investment in affiliates
of $30mm as per 2020 Q3 filing; PV of NOLs of $360mm PV of NOLs of$360mm; post tax litigation risk of $424mm (assumes tax rate of 21%, pre-tax litigation risk of $537mm).2020E post tax underfunded pension and OPEB of $1,442mm (assumes tax
rate of 21%, pre-tax underfunded pension of $1,468mm and pre-tax underfunded OPEB of $356mm) per management estimates.FinCo. book value deducts $300mm of intercompany loans from FinCo. to ManufacturingCo. from book value of $647mm per 2020
Q3 filing.Assumes Navistar’s run-rate cost synergy estimate of $347mm per management estimates.3 Navistar Share Price (Illustrative and for reference only) $43.00 $44.00 $45.00 $46.00 $47.00 $48.00 $49.00 $50.00 Premium
to unaffected price of $24.07 as of 1/30/20 78.6% 82.8% 87.0% 91.1% 95.3% 99.4% 103.6% 107.7% Premium to unaffected 52-week high of $39.15 as of 1/30/20 9.8% 12.4% 14.9% 17.5% 20.1% 22.6% 25.2% 27.7% Implied Equity
Value $4,323 $4,425 $4,527 $4,629 $4,731 $4,833 $4,935 $5,037 Plus: Industrial Net Debt and Other⁽¹⁾ 1,871 1,871 1,871 1,871 1,871 1,871 1,871 1,871 Implied Enterprise
Value $6,193 $6,295 $6,398 $6,500 $6,602 $6,704 $6,806 $6,908 Plus: Tax Affected Unfunded Pension & OPEB⁽²⁾ 1,442 1,442 1,442 1,442 1,442 1,442 1,442 1,442 Implied Adj. Enterprise
Value $7,635 $7,737 $7,839 $7,941 $8,043 $8,145 $8,247 $8,350 Less: Book Value of FinCo Equity⁽³⁾ (347) (347) (347) (347) (347) (347) (347) (347) Implied Adj. Manufacturing Enterprise
Value $7,288 $7,390 $7,492 $7,594 $7,696 $7,798 $7,900 $8,003 Valuation Multiples TEV / EBITDA Metric 2020E $370 16.7x 17.0x 17.3x 17.5x 17.8x 18.1x 18.4x 18.6x 2020E (Incl. $337mm
Run-Rate Cost Synergies)⁽⁴⁾ 707 8.8x 8.9x 9.0x 9.2x 9.3x 9.5x 9.6x 9.8x 2021E $700 8.9x 9.0x 9.1x 9.3x 9.4x 9.6x 9.7x 9.9x 2021E (Incl. $337mm Run-Rate Cost Synergies)⁽⁴⁾
1,037 6.0x 6.1x 6.2x 6.3x 6.4x 6.5x 6.6x 6.7x Adj. TEV / EBITDAPO 2020E $433 17.6x 17.8x 18.1x 18.3x 18.6x 18.8x 19.0x 19.3x 2020E (Incl. $337mm Run-Rate Cost
Synergies)⁽⁴⁾ 770 9.9x 10.0x 10.2x 10.3x 10.4x 10.6x 10.7x 10.8x 2021E $720 10.6x 10.7x 10.9x 11.0x 11.2x 11.3x 11.5x 11.6x 2021E (Incl. $337mm Run-Rate Cost
Synergies)⁽⁴⁾ 1,057 7.2x 7.3x 7.4x 7.5x 7.6x 7.7x 7.8x 7.9x Adj. Manufacturing TEV / Manufacturing EBITDAPO 2020E $308 23.6x 24.0x 24.3x 24.6x 25.0x 25.3x 25.6x 26.0x 2020E (Incl. $337mm Run-Rate Cost
Synergies)⁽⁴⁾ 645 11.3x 11.5x 11.6x 11.8x 11.9x 12.1x 12.2x 12.4x 2021E $594 12.3x 12.4x 12.6x 12.8x 13.0x 13.1x 13.3x 13.5x 2021E (Incl. $337mm Run-Rate Cost
Synergies)⁽⁴⁾ 931 7.8x 7.9x 8.0x 8.2x 8.3x 8.4x 8.5x 8.6x