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FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited)

September 30, 2008



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

(unaudited)

September 30, 2008


INDEX

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited):

       

Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)

    1  

Consolidated Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Income (unaudited)

    2  

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (unaudited)

    3  

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited)

    4  


FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited)

(in thousands, except share data)

 
  At
September 30,
2008
  At
December 31,
2007
 

ASSETS

             

General investment portfolio, available for sale:

             
 

Bonds at fair value (amortized cost of $5,353,766 and $4,857,295)

  $ 5,207,690   $ 5,019,961  
 

Equity securities at fair value (cost of $1,364 and $40,020)

    815     39,869  
 

Short-term investments (cost of $599,357 and $88,972)

    597,988     90,075  

Variable interest entities segment investment portfolio, available for sale:

             
 

Bonds at fair value (amortized cost of $1,129,651 and $1,119,359)

    1,084,158     1,139,568  
 

Guaranteed investments contracts from GIC Affiliates at fair value (amortized cost of $585,573 and $621,054)

    614,834     639,950  
 

Short-term investments (at cost which approximates fair value)

    7,220     8,618  

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions (includes $168,831 and $22,433 at fair value)

    184,684     229,264  
           
   

Total investment portfolio

    7,697,389     7,167,305  

Cash

    26,953     21,770  

Deferred acquisition costs

    308,571     347,870  

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

    1,040,931     1,119,565  

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

    229,585     76,478  

Deferred tax asset

    389,360      

Other assets (includes $898,922 and $758,740 at fair value) (See Note 12)

    1,865,403     1,456,620  
           
   

TOTAL ASSETS

  $ 11,558,192   $ 10,189,608  
           

LIABILITIES, MINORITY INTEREST AND SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY

             

Deferred premium revenue

  $ 3,158,663   $ 2,879,378  

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

    1,462,712     274,556  

Variable interest entities segment debt (includes $853,047 at fair value at September 30, 2008)

    1,621,154     2,584,800  

Deferred tax liability

        110,156  

Notes payable to affiliate

    179,712     210,143  

Other liabilities and minority interest (includes $1,191,490 and $702,737 at fair value) (See Note 12)

    2,420,342     1,168,274  
           
   

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND MINORITY INTEREST

    8,842,583     7,227,307  
           

COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES

             

Preferred stock (5,000.1 shares authorized; 0 shared issued and outstanding; par value of $1,000 per share)

             

Common stock (330 and 344 shares authorized; issued and outstanding; par value of $45,455 and $43,605 per share)

    15,000     15,000  

Additional paid-in capital

    1,409,692     679,692  

Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of deferred income tax provision of $(57,642) and $58,530

    (106,574 )   108,669  

Accumulated earnings

    1,397,491     2,158,940  
           
   

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY

    2,715,609     2,962,301  
           
   

TOTAL LIABILITIES, MINORITY INTEREST AND SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY

  $ 11,558,192   $ 10,189,608  
           

The accompany Notes are an integral part of the Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited).

1



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS AND COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (unaudited)

(in thousands)

 
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
 
  2008   2007  

REVENUES

             
 

Net premiums written

  $ 672,923   $ 328,675  
           
 

Net premiums earned

  $ 314,823   $ 264,274  
 

Net investment income from general investment portfolio

    197,246     174,681  
 

Net realized gains (losses) from general investment portfolio

    (1,795 )   (3,128 )
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

             
   

Realized gains (losses) and other settlements

    98,764     72,400  
   

Net unrealized gains (losses)

    (467,905 )   (352,511 )
           
     

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

    (369,141 )   (280,111 )
 

Net interest income from variable interest entities segment

    58,116     102,119  
 

Net realized and unrealized gains (losses) on derivative instruments

    16,889     (11,884 )
 

Net unrealized gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value

    1,029,492      
 

Income from assets acquired in refinancing transactions

    9,067     16,498  
 

Other income

    21,889     14,221  
           

TOTAL REVENUES

    1,276,586     276,670  
           

EXPENSES

             
 

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

    1,444,088     19,128  
 

Interest expense

    9,391     16,101  
 

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

    51,435     47,589  
 

Foreign exchange (gains) losses from variable interest entities segment

    1,134     32,733  
 

Interest expense from variable interest entities segment

    100,782     107,366  
 

Other operating expenses

    51,881     77,601  
           

TOTAL EXPENSES

    1,658,711     300,518  
           

INCOME (LOSS) BEFORE INCOME TAXES AND MINORITY INTEREST

    (382,125 )   (23,848 )
 

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

    (532,596 )   (32,378 )
           

NET INCOME (LOSS) BEFORE MINORITY INTEREST

    150,471     8,530  
 

Less: Minority interest

    930,196     (52,711 )
           

NET INCOME (LOSS)

    (779,725 )   61,241  

OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS), NET OF TAX

             

Unrealized gains (losses) on available-for-sale securities arising during the period, net of deferred income tax provision (benefit) of $(114,228) and $(10,554)

    (211,633 )   (19,600 )

Less: reclassification adjustment for gains (losses) included in net income, net of deferred income tax provision (benefit) of $1,944 and $2,231

    3,610     4,143  
           

Other comprehensive income (loss)

    (215,243 )   (23,743 )
           

COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS)

  $ (994,968 ) $ 37,498  
           

The accompanying Notes are an integral part of the Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited).

2



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (unaudited)

(in thousands)

 
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
 
  2008   2007  

Cash flows from operating activities:

             
 

Premiums received, net

  $ 583,044   $ 303,624  
 

Credit derivative fees received, net

    73,927     67,911  
 

Other operating expenses paid, net

    (181,141 )   (138,324 )
 

Losses and loss adjustment expenses paid, net

    (436,460 )   (3,494 )
 

Net investment income received from general investment portfolio

    190,579     171,956  
 

Federal income taxes paid

    (8,363 )   (81,349 )
 

Interest paid

    (9,470 )   (16,017 )
 

Interest paid on variable interest entities segment

    (5,395 )   (6,297 )
 

Net investment income received from variable interest entities segment

    22,005     29,494  
 

Net derivative payments in variable interest entities segment

    (8,365 )   (23,906 )
 

Income received from assets acquired in refinancing transactions

    9,843     14,679  
 

Other

    39,252     4,343  
           
   

Net cash provided by (used for) operating activities

    269,456     322,620  
           

Cash flows from investing activities:

             
 

Proceeds from sales of bonds in general investment portfolio

    3,610,359     2,621,282  
 

Proceeds from maturities of bonds in general investment portfolio

    486,689     138,073  
 

Purchases of bonds in general investment portfolio

    (4,570,733 )   (2,941,826 )
 

Net (increase) decrease in short-term investments in general investment portfolio

    (503,003 )   (20,927 )
 

Proceeds from maturities of bonds in variable interest entities segment

    45,500     179,400  
 

Net (increase) decrease in short-term investments in variable interest entities segment

    1,398     17,289  
 

Paydowns of assets acquired in refinancing transactions

    29,326     73,468  
 

Proceeds from sales of assets acquired in refinancing transactions

    4,932     4,339  
 

Purchases of property, plant and equipment

    (2,019 )   (1,072 )
 

Other investments

    (847 )   11,860  
           
   

Net cash provided by (used for) investing activities

    (898,398 )   81,886  
           

Cash flows from financing activities:

             
 

Capital contribution

    500,000      
 

Surplus Notes

    300,000      
 

Dividend Paid

    (10,000 )    
 

Repayment of notes payable to affiliate

    (30,431 )   (74,815 )
 

Repayment of variable interest entities segment debt

    (49,340 )   (190,900 )
 

Repurchase of shares

    (70,000 )   (125,000 )
 

Other

    (3,408 )   (764 )
           
   

Net cash provided by (used for) financing activities

    636,821     (391,479 )
           

Effect of changes in foreign exchange rates on cash balances

    (2,696 )   785  
           

Net increase (decrease) in cash

    5,183     13,812  

Cash at beginning of period

    21,770     29,660  
           

Cash at end of period

  $ 26,953   $ 43,472  
           

The accompanying Notes are an integral part of the Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited).

3



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)

1.    ORGANIZATION AND OWNERSHIP

        Financial Security Assurance Inc. ("FSA" or together with its consolidated entities, the "Company"), a wholly owned subsidiary of Financial Security Assurance Holdings Ltd. (the "Parent"), is an insurance company domiciled in the State of New York. The Company engages in providing financial guaranty insurance on public finance obligations in domestic and international markets including Europe, the Asia Pacific region and elsewhere in the Americas. The Company operates in two business segments: a financial guaranty segment and a variable interest entities ("VIE") segment. Prior to August 2008, the Company provided financial guaranty insurance on both public finance and asset-backed obligations. On August 6, 2008, the Company announced that it would cease providing financial guaranty insurance on asset-backed obligations and instead participate exclusively in the global public finance financial guaranty business.

        Within the financial guaranty segment, the Company insures guaranteed investment contracts ("GICs") issued by FSA Capital Management Services LLC ("FSACM"), FSA Capital Markets Services (Caymans) Ltd. and, prior to April 2003, FSA Capital Markets Services LLC (collectively, the "GIC Affiliates"), affiliates of the Company.

Ownership

        The Parent is a direct subsidiary of Dexia Holdings, Inc. ("Dexia Holdings"), which, in turn, is owned 90% by Dexia Crédit Local S.A. ("Dexia Crédit Local") and 10% by Dexia S.A. ("Dexia"). Dexia is a Belgian corporation whose shares are traded on the NYSE Euronext Brussels and NYSE Euronext Paris markets, as well as on the Luxembourg Stock Exchange. Dexia Crédit Local is a wholly owned subsidiary of Dexia. At September 30, 2008, Dexia Holdings owned over 99% of outstanding shares of the Parent.

        On September 30, 2008, Dexia announced that it was receiving a €6.4 billion (approximately $8.8 billion) investment from the governments of Belgium, France, and Luxembourg, as well as existing shareholders, which was followed by changes in Dexia senior management.

        On November 14, 2008, Dexia announced that Dexia and Assured Guaranty Ltd. ("Assured Guaranty") have entered into a purchase agreement for Assured Guaranty to acquire all of Dexia's shares of the Parent (the "Acquisition"), subject to the satisfaction of specified closing conditions, including receipt of regulatory and Assured Guaranty shareholder approvals and confirmation from S&P, Moody's and Fitch that the acquisition of the Parent would not have a negative impact on the financial strength ratings of Assured's insurance company subsidiaries or the Company. The Company cannot estimate whether or when such closing conditions will be satisfied, whether the Acquisition will be completed and, if completed, whether it will be structured as currently contemplated, or what the effects of such a change in control will be on the Company and its results of operations. If the Acquisition is not carried out, Dexia may explore other options with respect to the Parent, including selling the Parent or some of its operations to a third party, which may have a material effect on the Company.

Financial Guaranty

        The financial strength of FSA and its subsidiaries have historically been rated "Triple-A" by the major securities rating agencies and obligations insured by them have historically been generally

4



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

1.    ORGANIZATION AND OWNERSHIP (Continued)


awarded "Triple-A" ratings by reason of such insurance. During the third quarter of 2008, the rating agencies took various ratings actions regarding the Company:

        The ratings agencies stated that their actions regarding the Company were based in part upon rating agency concerns regarding the prospects for new business originations by financial guarantors, as well as uncertainty about future support for the Company under Dexia's new ownership and management, rather than the fundamental credit strength of the insurance company.

        In the third quarter, to address liquidity requirements of the Parent's financial products business, Dexia provided Parent a $5 billion committed, unsecured, standby line of credit (the $5 Billion Line of Credit"). As of November 14, 2008, Parent had drawn $550 million on the $5 Billion Line of Credit. FSA guarantees the repayment of borrowings under the $5 Billion Line of Credit. In addition, on November 13, 2008, the Parent entered into two new agreements with Dexia and its affiliates in support of its GIC operations, which provide additional protection through a $3.5 billion collateral swap facility and a $500 million capital facility to cover economic losses beyond the $316.5 million of pre-tax loss estimated at the end of June 2008.

        The impact of recent developments on the Company, including the ratings agency announcements and the Company's August 2008 decision to cease providing financial guaranty insurance on asset-backed obligations, as well as the impact of recent developments on the financial guaranty insurance industry as a whole, remains uncertain, and could include a long term decrease in demand in the global economy for financial guaranty insurance, as well as increases in the requirements for conducting, or restrictions on the types of business conducted by, financial guaranty insurers.

        Financial guaranty insurance written by the Company typically guarantees scheduled payments on financial obligations. Upon a payment default on an insured obligation, FSA is generally required to pay the principal, interest or other amounts due in accordance with the obligation's original payment schedule or may, at its option, pay such amounts on an accelerated basis. FSA's underwriting policy is to insure obligations that would otherwise be investment grade without the benefit of FSA's insurance.

        Public finance obligations insured by the Company consist primarily of general obligation bonds supported by the issuers' taxing powers, tax-supported bonds and revenue bonds and other obligations of states, their political subdivisions and other municipal issuers supported by the issuers' or obligors' covenant to impose and collect fees and charges for public services or specific projects. Public finance obligations include obligations backed by the cash flow from leases or other revenues from projects

5



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

1.    ORGANIZATION AND OWNERSHIP (Continued)


serving substantial public purposes, including government office buildings, toll roads, health care facilities and utilities.

        Asset-backed obligations insured by the Company were generally issued in structured transactions and are backed by pools of assets such as residential mortgage loans, consumer or trade receivables, securities or other assets having an ascertainable cash flow or market value. The Company insured synthetic asset-backed obligations that generally took the form of credit default swap ("CDS") obligations or credit-linked notes that reference asset-backed securities ("ABS") or pools of securities or other obligations, with a defined deductible to cover credit risks associated with the referenced securities or loans.

        The Company has refinanced certain poorly performing transactions by employing refinancing vehicles to raise funds, prepay the claim obligations and take control of the assets. These refinancing vehicles are consolidated with the Company and considered part of the financial guaranty segment. Management believes that the assets held by the refinancing vehicles are beyond the reach of the Company and its creditors, even in bankruptcy or other receivership.

Variable Interest Entities

        The Company consolidated the results of certain VIEs, which include FSA Global Funding Limited ("FSA Global") and Premier International Funding Co. ("Premier"). The Company does not own an equity interest in the VIEs.

        FSA Global is a special purpose funding vehicle partially owned by a subsidiary of the Parent. FSA Global issues FSA-insured medium term notes and generally invests the proceeds from the sale of its notes in FSA-insured GICs or other FSA-insured obligations with a view to realizing the yield difference between the notes issued and the obligations purchased with the note proceeds. Premier is principally engaged in debt defeasance for finance lease transactions.

        The Company's management believes that the assets held by FSA Global, Premier and the refinancing vehicles, including those that are eliminated in consolidation, are beyond the reach of the Company and its creditors, even in bankruptcy or other receivership. Substantially all the assets of FSA Global are pledged to secure the repayment, on a pro rata basis, of FSA Global's notes and its other obligations.

2.    BASIS OF PRESENTATION

        The accompanying Consolidated Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP") for interim financial statements and, in the opinion of management, reflect all adjustments, which include only normal recurring adjustments necessary for a fair statement of the financial position, results of operations and cash flows as of and for the period ended September 30, 2008 and for all periods presented. These Consolidated Financial Statements should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and notes thereto included as an exhibit to the Parent's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. The accompanying Consolidated Financial Statements have not been audited by an independent registered public accounting firm in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). The December 31, 2007 consolidated balance sheet was derived from audited financial statements, but

6



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

2.    BASIS OF PRESENTATION (Continued)


does not include all disclosures required by GAAP. The results of operations for the periods ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 are not necessarily indicative of the operating results for the full year. Certain prior-year balances have been reclassified to conform to the 2008 presentation.

        The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make extensive estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities in the Company's consolidated balance sheets at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, the reported amounts of revenues and expenses in the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income during the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities. Such estimates and assumptions include, but are not limited to, losses and loss adjustment expenses, fair value of financial instruments, other-than-temporary impairment, the deferral and amortization of policy acquisition costs and taxes. Actual results may differ from those estimates.

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT

        The Company adopted Statement of Financial Accounting Standards ("SFAS") No. 157, "Fair Value Measurements" ("SFAS 157"), effective January 1, 2008. SFAS 157 addresses how companies should measure fair value when required to use fair value measures under GAAP. SFAS 157:

        In February 2007 the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued SFAS No. 159, "The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities" ("SFAS 159"). SFAS 159 provides an option to elect fair value as an alternative measurement for selected financial assets and financial liabilities not previously recorded at fair value. The Company adopted SFAS 159 on January 1, 2008 and elected fair value accounting for certain VIE segment debt and certain assets acquired in refinancing FSA-insured transactions not previously carried at fair value. See Note 4.

        The Company applied its valuation methodologies for its assets and liabilities measured at fair value to all of the assets and liabilities carried at fair value effective January 1, 2008, whether those instruments are carried at fair value as a result of the adoption of SFAS 159 or in compliance with other authoritative accounting guidance. The Company has fair value committees to review and approve valuations and assumptions used in its models. These committees meet quarterly prior to issuing quarterly financial statements.

7



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)

        Fair value is based upon pricing received from dealer quotes or alternative pricing sources with reasonable levels of price transparency, internally developed estimates that employ credit-spread algorithms or models that use market-based or independently sourced market data inputs, including yield curves, interest rates, volatilities, debt prices, foreign exchange rates and credit curves. In addition to market information, models also incorporate instrument- specific data, such as maturity date.

        Considerable judgment is necessary to interpret the data to develop the estimates of fair value. The use of different market assumptions and/or estimation methodologies may have a material effect on the estimated fair-value amounts.

        The transition adjustment in connection with the adoption of SFAS 157 was an increase of $26.6 million after-tax to beginning retained earnings, which relates to day one gains that had been deferred under EITF 02-03.

8



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)

        The following table summarizes the components of the fair-value adjustments included in the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income:

 
  Nine Months Ended September 30,  
 
  2008   2007  
 
  (in thousands)
 

REVENUES:

             
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives (See Note 10)

  $ (369,141 ) $ (280,111 )
           
 

Net interest income from variable interest entities segment:

             
   

Fair-value adjustments on VIE segment investment portfolio

  $ 3,245   $  
   

Fair-value adjustments on VIE segment derivatives

    (4,956 )    
           
       

Net interest income from variable interest entities segment

  $ (1,711 ) $  
           
 

Net realized and unrealized gains (losses) on derivative instruments:

             
   

VIE segment derivatives(1) (See Note 11)

  $ 16,798   $ (12,151 )
   

Other financial guaranty segment derivatives

    91     267  
           
       

Net realized and unrealized gains (losses) on derivative instruments

  $ 16,889   $ (11,884 )
           
 

Net unrealized gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value

             
   

Financial guaranty segment:

             
     

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

  $ (7,296 ) $  
     

Committed preferred trust put options

    78,000      
           
       

Net unrealized gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value in the financial guaranty segment

    70,704      
           
   

VIE segment:

             
     

Fixed-rate VIE segment debt:

             
       

Fair-value adjustments other than the Company's own credit risk

    28,491      
       

Fair-value adjustments attributable to the Company's own credit risk

    930,297      
           
         

Net unrealized gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value in the VIE segment

    958,788      
           
           

Net unrealized gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value

  $ 1,029,492   $  
           

EXPENSES:

             
 

Other income(2)

  $ (7,501 )    

OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS), NET OF TAX:

             
 

General Investment Portfolio (See Note 5)

  $ (202,538 ) $ (22,874 )
 

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

    (2,320 )   (869 )
 

VIE Investment Portfolio

    (10,385 )    
           
       

Total other comprehensive income (loss), net of taxes

  $ (215,243 ) $ (23,743 )
           

(1)
Represents derivatives not in designated fair-value hedging relationships.

(2)
Represents fair value adjustments for assets acquired in refinancing transaction portfolio.

9



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)

Valuation Hierarchy

        SFAS 157 establishes a three-level valuation hierarchy for disclosure of fair value measurements. The valuation hierarchy is based upon the transparency of inputs to the valuation of an asset or liability as of the measurement date. The three levels are defined as follows:

        A financial instrument's categorization within the valuation hierarchy is based upon the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement.

Inputs to Valuation Techniques

        Inputs refer broadly to the assumptions that market participants use in pricing assets or liabilities, including assumptions about risk. Inputs may be observable or unobservable.


Valuation Techniques

        Valuation techniques used for assets and liabilities accounted for at fair value are generally categorized into three types:

10



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)

        The Company uses valuation techniques that it concludes are appropriate in the specific circumstances and for which sufficient data are available. In selecting the valuation technique to apply, management considers the definition of an exit price and considers the nature of the asset or liability being valued.

Financial Instruments Carried at Fair Value

        The following is a description of the valuation methodologies the Company uses for financial instruments measured at fair value, including the general classification of such instruments within the valuation hierarchy.

General Investment Portfolio

        The fair value of bonds in the portfolio of investments supporting the financial guaranty segment (excluding assets acquired in refinancing transactions) (the "General Investment Portfolio") is generally based on quoted market prices received from dealer quotes or alternative pricing sources with reasonable levels of price transparency. Such quotes generally consider a variety of factors, including recent trades of the same and similar securities. If quoted market prices are not available, the valuation is based on pricing models that use dealer price quotations, price activity for traded securities with similar attributes and other relevant market factors as inputs, including security type, rating, vintage, tenor and its position in the capital structure of the issuer. Assets in this category are primarily categorized as Level 2.

        As of September 30, 2008, the Company's equity securities were comprised of common stock of Dexia. The fair value of the common stock is based upon quoted prices and is categorized as Level 1.

        For short-term investments in the General Investment Portfolio, which are those investments with a maturity of less than one year at time of purchase, the carrying amount approximates fair value. These short-term investments include money-market funds and other highly liquid short-term investments, which are categorized as Level 1 on the valuation hierarchy, and foreign government and agency securities, which are categorized as Level 2.

VIE Segment Investment Portfolio

        The "VIE Segment Investment Portfolio" is comprised of investments supporting the VIE liabilities, which are primarily designated as available-for-sale, but in some cases are classified as held-to-maturity. The fair value of bonds in the VIE Segment Investment Portfolio is generally based on quoted market prices received from dealer quotes or alternative pricing sources with reasonable levels of price transparency. Such quotes generally consider a variety of factors, including recent trades of the same and similar securities. For assets not valued by quoted market prices received from dealer

11



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)


quotes or alternative pricing sources, fair value is based on either internally developed models using market-based inputs or based on broker quotes for identical or similar assets. Valuation results, particularly those derived from valuation models and quotes on certain mortgage and asset-backed securities, could differ materially from amounts that would actually be realized in the market. Assets in the VIE Segment Investment Portfolio are generally categorized as Level 3 on the valuation hierarchy.

        For short-term investments in the VIE Segment Investment Portfolio, which are those investments with a maturity of less than one year at time of purchase, the carrying amount is fair value. These short-term investments include overnight money market funds, which are categorized as Level 1 on the valuation hierarchy.

Assets Acquired in Refinancing Transactions

        For certain assets acquired in refinancing transactions, fair value is either the present value of expected cash flows or a quoted market price as of the reporting date. This portfolio is comprised primarily of bonds, securitized loans, common stock, mortgage loans, real estate and short term investments, of which bonds, common stocks and certain securitized loans are carried at fair value. Mortgage loans are accounted for at fair value when lower than cost. The majority of the assets in this portfolio are categorized as Level 3 in the valuation hierarchy, except for the short-term investments, which are categorized as Level 2.

Credit Derivatives in the Insured Portfolio

        The Company's insured portfolio includes contracts accounted for as derivatives, namely,

        The Company considers all such agreements to be a normal part of its financial guaranty insurance business but, for accounting purposes, these contracts are deemed to be derivative instruments and therefore must be recorded at fair value, with changes in fair value recorded in the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income in the line item "net change in fair value of credit derivatives."

        In the case of CDS contracts, a trust that is consolidated by the Company writes a derivative contract that provides for payments to be made if certain credit events occur related to certain specified reference obligations, in exchange for a fee. The need to interpose a trust is a regulatory requirement imposed by the New York State Insurance Department as an exception to its general rule,

12



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)

in order to allow the financial guarantors to sell credit protection by entering into credit derivative contracts (albeit indirectly by guaranteeing the trust), while other types of insurance enterprises may neither directly enter into such credit derivative contracts, nor provide such guarantees to a trust. The trust's obligation on the CDS contracts it writes are guaranteed by a financial guaranty contract written by the Company that provides payments to the insured if the trust defaults on its payments under the derivative contract. In these transactions, the Company is considered the counterparty to a financial guaranty contract that is defined as a derivative. The credit event is typically based upon failure to pay or the insolvency of a referenced obligation. In such cases, the claim represents payment for the shortfall amount.

        The Company's accounting policy regarding CDS contract valuations is a "critical accounting policy and estimate" due to the valuation's significance to the financial statements since it requires management to make numerous complex and subjective judgments relating to amounts that are inherently uncertain. CDS contracts are valued using proprietary models because such instruments are unique, complex and are typically highly customized transactions. Valuation models and the related assumptions are continuously reevaluated by management and enhanced, as appropriate, based on market developments and improvements in modeling techniques and the availability of market observable data. Due to the significance of unobservable inputs required to value CDS contracts, they are considered to be Level 3 under the SFAS 157 fair value hierarchy.

        The assumed credit quality of the underlying referenced obligations, the assumed credit spread attributable to credit risk of the underlying referenced obligations exclusive of funding costs, the appropriate reference credit index or price source and credit spread attributable to the Company's own credit risk are significant assumptions that, if changed, could result in materially different fair values. Market perceptions of credit deterioration of the underlying referenced obligation would result in an increase in the expected exit value (amount required to be paid to exit the transaction due to wider credit spreads).

Determination of Current Exit Value Premium:    The estimation of the current exit value premium is derived using a unique credit-spread algorithm for each defined CDS category that utilizes various publicly available credit indices, depending on the types of assets referenced by the CDS contract and the duration of the contract. The "exit price" derived is technically an "entry price" and not an "exit price", i.e., the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability that is required under SFAS 157. This is because a monoline insurer cannot observe "exit prices" for the CDS contract that it writes in a principal market since these contracts are not transferable. While SFAS 157 provides that the transaction (entry) price and the exit price may not be equal if the transaction price includes transaction costs, the Company believes those transaction costs would be the same in an "entry" market and a hypothetical "exit" market and thus it would be inappropriate to record a day one gain when using the estimated "entry price" to determine the exit value premium.

        Management applies judgment when developing these estimates and considers factors such as current prices charged for similar agreements, performance of underlying assets, changes in internal credit assessments or rating agency-based shadow ratings, and the level at which the deductible has been set. Estimates generated from the Company's valuation process may differ materially from values that may be realized in market transactions.

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FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)

        In a financial guaranty insurance policy, a deductible is the portion of a loss under that policy that is not covered by the policy, or in other words, the amount of the loss for which the insurer is not responsible. In a CDS contract, the deductible is quoted as a percentage of the contract's notional amount, and is also referred to as the contract's attachment point. For example, for a CDS with a $1 billion notional amount and a 15% deductible, the Company would only be obligated to make a claim payment after the insured incurred more than $150 million (15% of $1 billion) of losses (net of recoveries). The attachment points for each of the Company's CDS contracts vary, as the deductibles are negotiated on a contract-by-contract basis.

        In the ordinary course, the Company does not post collateral to the counterparty as security for the Company's obligation under CDS contracts. As a result, the Company receives a smaller fee than it would for a CDS contract that required the posting of collateral. In order to calculate the exit value premium for CDS that do not require collateral to be posted, the Company applies a factor (the "non-collateral posting factor") to the indicated market premium for CDS contracts that require collateral to be posted. The factor was 62% for the quarter ended September 30, 2008.

        The Company calculates the non-collateral posting factor quarterly based in part on observable market inputs. In the market where transactions are executed, the Company has observed since the beginning of 2008 that when a collateral posting counterparty executes a CDS contract purchasing protection from a non-collateral posting counterparty, it will hold back a minimum of 20% of the CDS premium it charged to provide the CDS protection. The Company believes that the non-collateral posting factor has the effect of adjusting the fair value of these contracts for the Company's credit quality in addition to adjusting the contract to a collateral posting basis. Accordingly, the Company adds to the 20% minimum an additional amount to reflect the market price of CDS protection on FSA. The Company estimated the additional amount as of September 30, 2008 to be 42% using an algorithm that uses as an input FSA's current annual five-year CDS credit spread, which was approximately 1,110 basis points as of September 30, 2008. The Company uses the current five-year CDS credit spread based on its observation that the five-year instrument is the standard contract used to hedge counterparty credit risk.

        Below is an explanation of how the Company determines the current exit value for each of the following types of CDS contracts:


        For each of these types of CDS contracts, the price the Company charges when entering into such contract sometimes differs from the fair value determined by the Company's fair value model at the time when the Company enters into the CDS contract. The Company refers to this difference as the "initial model adjustment," and is not an indicator of a day one gain. The initial model adjustment is needed because of differences between the CDS contract being valued and the reference index. The initial model adjustment is calculated at the inception of a CDS contract in order to calibrate the indicated model fair value of the CDS contract to the contractual premium rate on the trade date.

14



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)

        Pooled Corporate CDS Contracts:    A pooled corporate CDS contract insures the default risk of a pool of referenced corporate entities. As there is no observable exchange trading of bespoke pooled corporate CDS, the Company values these contracts using an internal pricing model that uses the mid-point of the bid and ask prices (the "mid-market price") of dealer quotes on specific indexes as inputs to its pricing model, principally the Dow Jones CDX for domestic corporate CDS ("DJ CDX") and iTraxx for European corporate CDS ("iTraxx"). The mid-market price is a practical expedient for the fair-value measurement within a bid-ask spread. For those pooled corporate CDS contracts that include both domestic and foreign reference entities, the Company applies the iTraxx price in proportion to the pool of applicable foreign reference entities comprising the pool by calculating a weighted average of the DJ CDX and iTraxx quoted prices.

        The Company's valuation process for pooled corporate CDS involves stratifying the pools into either investment grade credits or high-yield credits and then by remaining term to maturity, consistent with the reference indexes. Within maturity bands, further distinction is made for contracts that have higher attachment points. Both the DJ CDX and iTraxx indices provide quoted prices for standard attachment and detachment points (or "tranches") for contracts with maturities of three, five, seven and ten years.

        Prices quoted for these tranches do not represent perfect pricing references, but are the only relevant market-based information available for this type of non-traded contract. The recent market volatility in the index tranches has had a significant impact on the estimated fair value of the Company's portfolio of pooled corporate CDS.

         Investment-Grade Pooled Corporate CDS Contracts:    The Company uses quoted prices related to its investment-grade pooled corporate CDS contracts ("IG CDS") by stratifying its IG CDS contracts into four maturity bands: less than 3.5 years; 3.5 to 5.5 years; 5.5 to 7.5 years; and 7.5 to 10 years. Within the maturity bands, further distinction is made for contracts that have a significantly higher starting attachment point (usually 30% or higher).

        The CDX North America IG Index ("CDX IG Index") is comprised of prices sourced from 125 North American investment grade CDS quoted (each, an "Index CDS") and is supported by at least 10 of the largest CDS dealers. In addition to the full capital structure, the CDX IG Index also provides price quotes for various tranches delineated by attachment and detachment points: 0 to 3%; 3 to 7%; 7 to10%; 10 to 15%; 15 to 30% and 30 to 100%. Approximately every six months, a new "series" of the CDX IG Index is published ("on-the-run") based on a new grouping of 125 Index CDS, which changes the composition of the 125 Index CDS of older ("off-the-run") series. Each quarter, the Company compares the composition of the 125 Index CDS in both the on-the-run and off-the run series of the CDX IG index to the CDS pool referenced by the Company's IG CDS contracts (the "reference CDS pool") and uses the average of the series of the CDX IG and iTraxx indices that most closely relates to the credit characteristics of the Company's IG CDS contracts. The Company also remodels each of its contracts to determine if the credit quality remains Super Triple-A and compares the Weighted-Average Rating Factor ("WARF") of the index to the WARF of each of the Company's IG CDS contracts. A "Super Triple-A" credit rating indicates a level of first-loss protection generally exceeding 1.3 times the level required by a rating agency for a Triple-A rating. WARF is a 10,000 point scale developed by Moody's that is used as an indicator of collateral pool risk. A higher WARF indicates a lower average collateral rating.

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FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)

        The Company calibrates the quoted index price to the approximate attachment points for its IG CDS contracts by calculating the weighted average of the given quoted tranche prices for IG CDS of a given maturity using the CDX IG Index and iTraxx quoted tranche widths. The relevant widths of the quoted tranches used by the two indices differ. DJ CDX uses tranches of 10 to 15%, 15 to 30%, and 30 to 100%, resulting in tranche widths of five, 15 and 70 percentage points, whereas iTraxx uses tranches of 9 to 12%, 12 to 22% and 22 to 100%, resulting in tranche widths of three, 10 and 78 percentage points.

        The Company's IG CDS contracts typically attach at 10% or higher. The following table indicates FSA's typical attachment points and total tranche widths:

Portfolio Classification
  Index Quoted
Duration
  FSA's Typical
Attachment Point
  FSA's Total
Tranche Width
 
 
  (in years)
   
   
 

Less than 3.5 Yrs

    3     10 %   90  

3.5 to 5.5 Yrs

    5     10     90  

5.5 to 7.5 Yrs:

                   
 

Lower attachment

    7     15     85  
 

Higher attachment

    7     30     70  

7.5 to 10 Yrs:

                   
 

Lower attachment

    10     15     85  
 

Higher attachment

    10     30     70  

        To calculate the weighted average price for the entire tranche width of the Company's IG CDS (the "total tranche width"), a price is obtained for each quoted tranche comprising the total tranche width, and the sum of the weighted average prices is divided by the total tranche width. The price for each quoted tranche is the mid-market of the quoted price for that tranche, weighted by the width of that tranche. The following table illustrates the calculation of the weighted-average price of the Company's IG CDS contracts with a maturity of up to 3.5 years, given quoted CDX IG tranche prices of 131 basis points, 99.5 basis points and 39.5 basis points for the 10 to 15%, 15 to 30%, and 30 to 100% tranches, respectively.

FSA Portfolio Classification   CDX IG Mid-market Price Multiplied by the Tranche Width    
   
 
  Total
Tranche
Width
  Weighted
Average
Price
 
Attachment/Detachment   10 to 15%   15 to 30%   30 to 100%   Total  
Less than 3.5 Yrs   131 bps × 5 = 655.0   99.5 bps × 15 = 1,492.5   39.5 bps × 70 = 2,765.0     4,912.5     90     54.6 bps  

        The Company's Transaction Oversight Department reviews the pooled corporate CDS portfolio regularly and no less than quarterly and factors in any rating changes. Any new reported credit events under a given CDS contract are factored into the contract's deductible level. As such credit events occur, the contract's attachment point is recalculated based on the revised deductible amount to determine if the attachment point for each contract in the portfolio continues to be at a "Super Triple-A" credit rating. At September 30, 2008, there was one IG CDS contract that was determined to be below the "Super Triple-A" credit rating. This contract was determined to have a credit rating considered investment grade as of that date. Accordingly, the Company applies the calculated pricing to all IG CDS in the portfolio consistent with its credit rating.

16



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)

        To arrive at the exit value premium applied to each of the Company's IG CDS contracts, the Company:

        Below is an example of the pricing algorithm that is applied to the Company's domestic IG CDS contracts with durations of 3.5 to 5.5 years to determine the exit premium value as of September 30, 2008:

Index
Duration
  Unadjusted
Quoted Price
  Non-collateral
Posting Factor
  Adjusted to
Non-collateral Posting
Contract Value
 
5 yrs     53.9 bps     62.0 %   20.5 bps  

         High-Yield Pooled Corporate CDS Contracts:    In order to estimate the market price for high-yield pooled corporate CDS contracts ("HY CDS"), the Company uses the average of the dealer mid-market prices obtained for the most senior quoted of the respective three year, five-year and seven-year tranches of the CDX North America High Yield Index ("CDX HY Index"). The CDX HY Index is comprised of prices sourced from 100 of the most liquid North American high yield CDS quoted (each, an "Index CDS") and is supported by more than 10 of the largest CDS dealers. In addition to the full capital structure, the CDX HY Index also provides price quotes for various tranches delineated by attachment and detachment points: 0 to 10%; 10 to 15%; 15 to 25%; 25 to 35%; and 35 to 100%. The Company uses an average of the dealer mid-market quotes of the index because the Company believes that dealer price quotes have historically been indicative of where trades have been executed in the high yield market.

        The Company applies a factor to the quoted prices (the "calibration factor"). The calibration factor is intended to calibrate the index price to each of the Company's pooled corporate high-yield CDS contracts, which reference pools of entities that are typically of higher average credit quality than those reflected in the CDX HY index. The calibration factor is determined for each HY CDS contract by calibrating the WARF of the index so that it approximately equals the WARF of each HY CDS contract. To do so, the Company recalculates the index price after removing from the index the reference obligations that have the highest spreads and are not in the relevant HY CDS contract. This recalculated index price is then divided by the unadjusted index to arrive at the calibration factor. As of September 30, 2008, the calibration factor applied to the Company's HY CDS contracts ranged from 65% to 100% of the WARF of the index.

        Approximately every six months, a new "series" of the CDX HY Index is published ("on-the-run") based on a new grouping of 100 Index CDS, which changes the composition of the 100 Index CDS of older ("off-the-run") series. The Company compares the composition of the 100 Index CDS in both the on-the-run and off-the run series of the CDS HY index to the CDS pool referenced by the Company's HY CDS contracts (the "reference CDS pool"). Based on that comparison, the Company determines

17



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)


which of the actively quoted series most closely relates to the credit characteristics of the Company's HY CDS contracts, and then uses the average of dealer quotes of that series. The Company also remodels each of its contracts to determine if the credit quality remains Super Triple-A and compares the WARF of the index to the WARF of each of the Company's HY CDS contracts.

        To arrive at the exit value premium that is applied to each of the Company's CDS contracts in a given maturity band, the non-collateral posting factor is applied to the weighted-average market price determined for that maturity band.

        Below is an example of the pricing algorithm that is applied to the Company's domestic HY CDS contracts with durations of 3.5 to 5.5 years, assuming an average calibration factor of 85% to determine the exit premium value as of September 30, 2008:

Index
Duration
  Unadjusted
Quoted Price
  After
Calibration
Factor(1)
  Adjusted to
Non-collateral Posting
Contract Value
 
5 yrs     173.86 bps     147.78 bps     56.2 bps  

        CDS of Funded CDOs and CLOs:    As with pooled corporate CDS, there is no observable exchange trading of CDS of funded CDOs and CLOs. The price of protection charged by a CDS writer is based on the "credit spread component" of the "all-in credit spread" of funded CLOs, as quoted by underwriter participants. As the all-in credit spread for a given CLO may not always be observable in the market, the CDS writer often utilizes an index, published by an underwriter participant, such as the "all-in" London Interbank Offered Rate ("LIBOR") spread for Triple-A rated cash-funded CLOs (the "Triple-A CLO Funded Rate") as published by J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. The Triple-A CLO Rate is an all-in credit spread that includes both a funding and credit spread component.

        The CDS protection of a CLO provided by the Company is priced to capture only the credit spread component, as the CDS writer is not providing funding for the CLO, only credit protection. The Company determines the exit value premium for all these CDS contracts in its portfolio that are rated Triple-A with reference to the Triple-A CLO Funded Rate, which was 375 bps as of September 30, 2008. The Company applies a credit component factor to the Triple-A CLO Funded Rate as a means of estimating the fair value of its Triple-A rated contract, which only refers to the credit component. The credit and funding components have been considered consistent at 50% each. The components are

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FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)


determined judgmentally based on estimates provided to the Company by external market participants. The credit component factor was 50% as of September 30, 2008.

        To arrive at the exit value premium that is applied to each of the Company' CDO and CLO CDS contracts, the non-collateral posting factor is applied to the weighted-average market price determined for each maturity band.

        The determination of the exit value premium is summarized as follows:

 
  Triple A
CLO Funded Rate
  After Credit
Component Factor
  After Non-collateral
Posting Factor
 

Rate

    375 bps     187.5 bps     71.3 bps  

         Other Structured Obligations Valuation:    For CDS for which observable market value information is not available, management applies its best judgment to estimate the appropriate current exit value premium, and takes into consideration the Company's estimation of the price at which the Company would currently charge to provide similar protection, and other factors such as the nature of the underlying reference credit, the Company's attachment point, and the tenor of the CDS contract.

        The Company generally utilizes reinsurance to purchase protection for CDS contracts it writes in the same way that it employs reinsurance in respect of other financial guaranty insurance policies. The Company's uses of reinsurance to mitigate risk exposures for CDS contracts and financial guaranty insurance policies are nearly identical as they involve the same reinsurers, the same underwriting process evaluating the reinsurers and the same credit risk management and surveillance processes supporting the reinsurance function. The Company enters into reinsurance agreements on CDS contracts primarily on a quota share basis. Under a quota share reinsurance agreement with a reinsurer, the Company cedes to the assuming reinsurer a proportionate share of the risk and premium.

        The determination of the hypothetical exit market is a key factor in determining the fair value of protection purchased (the "ceded" or "reinsurance" contract) with respect to a CDS contract written by a financial guarantor (the "direct contract"). SFAS 157 requires that the valuation premise, used to measure the fair value of an asset, must consider the asset's "highest and best use" from the perspective of market participants. Generally, the valuation premise used for a financial asset is "in-exchange" since this type of asset provides maximum value to market participants on a stand-alone basis. The maximum value of a ceded contract to the CDS writer's exit market participants is in combination with the CDS writer's direct contract. Therefore the appropriate valuation premise to use for a ceded contract is the "in-use" premise.

        The Company determines the fair value of a CDS contract in which it purchases protection from a reinsurer (the "ceded CDS contract") as the proportionate percentage of the fair value of the related written CDS contract, adjusted for any ceding commission and consideration of counterparty risk. In quota share reinsurance agreements, the assuming reinsurer typically pays a ceding commission periodically over the life of the CDS contract to the ceding company that is intended to defray the ceding company's costs for the services it provides to the reinsurer, such as risk selection, underwriting activities and ongoing servicing and reporting. As an element of the fair value of the ceded CDS contract, the ceding commission paid to the ceding company represents the ceding company's profit on

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FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)


the ceded CDS contract after considering counterparty credit risk and servicing costs, i.e., the difference between (a) the price of the protection the ceding company purchased from the reinsurer, which is net of the ceding commission, and (b) the price that the ceding company would receive to exit the ceded CDS contract in its principal market, which is comprised of other ceding insurers of comparable credit standing. The Company applies a credit valuation adjustment to the fair value of a ceded CDS contract due from a reinsurer if the reinsurer's credit quality (as determined by CDS price if available, or if not, its credit rating) is less than that of the Company's based upon the premise that the exit market for these contracts would be another monoline financial guarantee insurer that has similar credit rating or spread as the Company.

        The Company insures IR swaps entered into in connection with the issuance of certain public finance obligations. Because the financial guaranty contract insures a derivative, the financial guaranty contract is deemed to be a derivative. Therefore, the contract is required to be carried at fair value, with the change in fair value being recorded in the consolidated statement of operations and comprehensive income. As there is no observable market for these policies, the fair value of these contracts is determined by using an internally developed model. They are therefore classified as Level 3 in the valuation hierarchy.

        Insured NIM securitizations issued in connection with certain mortgage-backed security financings and FG contracts with embedded derivatives are deemed to be hybrid instruments that contain an embedded derivative if they were issued after January 1, 2007. The Company elected to record these financial instruments at fair value under SFAS No. 155, "Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial Instruments." Changes in the fair value of these contracts are recorded in the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income. As there is no observable market for these policies, the fair value of these contracts is based on internally derived estimates and they are therefore classified as Level 3 in the valuation hierarchy.

VIE Segment Derivatives

        On the date of adoption, all derivatives used to hedge VIE debt were valued by obtaining prices from brokers or counterparties, and accordingly were classified as Level 3 in the valuation hierarchy. At September 30, 2008, these derivatives were valued using a pricing model that uses observable market inputs such as interest rate curves, foreign exchange rates and inflation indices. Therefore these derivatives are classified as Level 2 in the valuation hierarchy at September 30, 2008, provided all of the significant model inputs were observable in the market, or Level 3 if not observable in the market.

Committed Preferred Trust Put Options

        As there is no observable market for the Company's committed preferred trust put options, fair value is based on internally derived estimates and therefore these put options are categorized as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy.

        The Company determined the fair value of the committed preferred trust put options by estimating the fair value of a floating rate security with an estimated market yield reflective of the underlying committed preferred security structure and the relevant coupon based on the capped auction rate.

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FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)

VIE Segment Debt

        The fair value of the VIE liabilities for which the Company elected the fair value option as described in Note 4 (the "fair-valued liabilities") is determined based on a discounted cash flow model. Fair value calculated by these models includes assumptions for interest rate curves based on selected benchmark securities and weighted average expected lives. In addition, the valuation of the fair-valued liabilities includes an adjustment to reflect the credit quality of the Company that represents the impact of changes in market credit spreads on these liabilities. The fair-valued liabilities are categorized as Level 3 in the valuation hierarchy.

        The following table presents the financial instruments carried at fair value at September 30, 2008, by caption on the consolidated balance sheet and by SFAS 157 valuation hierarchy.

Assets and Liabilities Measured at Fair Value on a Recurring Basis

 
  At September 30, 2008  
 
  Level 1   Level 2   Level 3   Total  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Assets:

                         

General investment portfolio, available for sale:

                         
 

Bonds

  $   $ 5,152,366   $ 55,324   $ 5,207,690  
 

Equity securities

    815             815  
 

Short-term investments

    102,129     495,859         597,988  

VIE segment investment portfolio, available for sale:

                         
 

Bonds

        24,515     1,059,643     1,084,158  
 

GICs

            614,834     614,834  
 

Short-term investments

    7,220             7,220  

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

        21,530     132,418     153,948  

Other assets:

                         
 

VIE segment derivatives

        555,481     53,498     608,979  
 

Credit derivatives

            211,943     211,943  
 

Committed preferred trust put option

            78,000     78,000  
                   
   

Total assets at fair value

  $ 110,164   $ 6,249,751   $ 2,205,660   $ 8,565,575  
                   

Liabilities:

                         

VIE segment debt

  $   $   $ 853,047   $ 853,047  

Other liabilities:

                         
 

Credit derivatives

            1,191,409     1,191,409  
 

Other financial guarantee segment derivatives

        81         81  
                   
   

Total liabilities at fair value

  $   $ 81   $ 2,044,456   $ 2,044,537  
                   

21



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)

Nonrecurring Fair Value Measurements

        Mortgage loans in the portfolio of assets acquired in refinancing transactions are carried at the lower of cost or market on an aggregate basis. As of September 30, 2008, such investments were carried at their fair value of $14.9 million. The mortgage loans are classified as Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy as there are significant unobservable inputs used in the valuation of such loans. An indicative dealer quote is used to price the non-performing portion of these mortgage loans. The performing loans are valued using management's determination of future cash flows arising from these loans, discounted at the rate of return that would be required by a market participant. This rate of return is based on indicative dealer quotes.

Changes in Level 3 Recurring Fair Value Measurements

        The table below includes a rollforward of the balance sheet amounts for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 for financial instruments classified by the Company within Level 3 of the valuation hierarchy. When a determination is made to classify a financial instrument within Level 3, the determination is based upon the significance of the unobservable data to the overall fair value measurement. However, Level 3 financial instruments may include, in addition to the unobservable or Level 3 components, observable components. Accordingly, the gains and losses in the table below include changes in fair value due in part to observable factors that are part of the valuation methodology. Level 3 assets were 19.1% of total assets at September 30, 2008. Level 3 liabilities were 23.1% of total liabilities at September 30, 2008.

22



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

3.    FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT (Continued)

Level 3 Rollforward

 
   
  Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008  
 
   
   
   
   
   
   
  Change in
Unrealized
Gains/(Losses)
Related to
Financial
Instruments
Held at
September 30,
2008
 
 
   
  Total Pre-tax Realized/Unrealized Gains/(losses)(1) Recorded in:    
   
   
 
 
   
  Purchases,
Issuances,
Settlements,
net
  Transfers
in and/or
out of
Level 3(2)
   
 
 
  Fair Value at
January 1,
2008
  Net
Income
(Loss)
  Other
Comprehensive
Income (Loss)
  Fair Value at
September 30,
2008
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

General investment portfolio, available for sale:

                                           
 

Bonds

  $ 59,840   $   $ (4,972 ) $ 456   $   $ 55,324   $  
 

Equity securities

    39,000     (36,075 )(3)       (2,925 )            

VIE segment investment portfolio, available for sale(4):

                                           
 

Bonds

    1,120,533     3,104   (5)   (63,994 )           1,059,643     3,104  
 

GICs

    639,950         10,364     (35,480 )       614,834      

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

    170,492     (7,296 )(6)   (3,561 )   (27,217 )       132,418     (7,296 )

VIE segment debt(4)

    (1,852,759 )   940,668   (7)       59,044         (853,047 )   957,100  

VIE segment derivatives(4)

    634,458     (9,364 )(8)           (571,596 )   53,498     6,186  

Committed preferred trust put options

        78,000   (6)               78,000     78,000  

Net credit derivatives(9)

    (537,321 )   (369,141 )(10)       (73,004 )       (979,466 )   (377,384 )

(1)
Realized and unrealized gains/(losses) from changes in values of Level 3 financial instruments represent gains/(losses) from changes in values of those financial instruments only for the periods in which the instruments were classified as Level 3.

(2)
Transfers are assumed to be made at the beginning of the period.

(3)
Included in net realized gains/(losses) from general investment portfolio.

(4)
Amount in net income (loss) is offset in minority interest. All but $16.2 million of the unrealized loss in other comprehensive income is offset in minority interest.

(5)
Reported in net interest income from variable interest entities segment.

(6)
Reported in net unrealized gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value.

(7)
Unrealized gain is reported in net unrealized gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value, and interest expense is reported in net interest expense from variable interest entities segment.

(8)
Reported in net interest income from variable interest entities segment if designated in a qualifying fair-value hedging relationship, or net unrealized gains (losses) on derivative instruments if not so designated.

(9)
Represents net position of credit derivatives. The consolidated balance sheets present gross assets and liabilities based on net counterparty exposure.

(10)
Reported in net change in fair value of credit derivatives.

23



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

4.    FAIR VALUE OPTION

        In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS 159, which is effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007. The Company adopted SFAS 159 effective January 1, 2008. SFAS 159 provides an option to elect fair value as an alternative measurement for selected financial assets and financial liabilities not previously carried at fair value. The fair-value option may be applied to single eligible instruments, is irrevocable and is applied only to entire instruments and not to portions of instruments. For a discussion of the Company's valuation methodologies, see Note 3.

        The Company's fair value elections were intended to mitigate the volatility in earnings that had been created by recording financial instruments and the related risk management instruments on a different basis of accounting, to eliminate the operational complexities of applying hedge accounting or to conform to the fair value elections made by the Company in 2006 under its International Financial Reporting Standards reporting to Dexia. The requirement, under SFAS 157, to incorporate a reporting entity's own credit risk in the valuation of liabilities which are carried at fair value, has created some additional volatility in earnings as credit risk is not hedged. The following table provides detail regarding the Company's elections by consolidated balance sheet line as of January 1, 2008.

 
  Carrying Value of Financial Instruments   Transition Gain/(Loss) Recorded in Retained Earnings   Adjusted Carrying Value of Financial Instruments  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

  $ 163,285   $ 2,537 (1) $ 165,822  

VIE segment debt

    (1,824,676 )   (28,083 )   (1,852,759 )
                   
 

Subtotal

          (25,546 )      
 

Minority interest

          28,083        

Deferred income taxes

          (888 )      
                   
 

Cumulative effect of adoption of SFAS 159

        $ 1,649        
                   

(1)
Includes the reversal of $0.7 million of valuation allowances.

Elections

        On January 1, 2008, the Company elected to record the following at fair value:

24



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

4.    FAIR VALUE OPTION (Continued)

Changes in Fair Value under the Fair Value Option Election

        The following table presents the pre-tax changes in fair value included in the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income for the nine months ended September 30, 2008, for items for which the SFAS 159 fair value election was made.

Net Unrealized Gains (Losses) on Financial Instruments at Fair Value

 
  Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2008
 

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

  $ (7,296 )

VIE segment debt(1)

    958,788  

        Included in the amounts in the table above are gains of approximately $930.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2008, that are attributable to widening in the Company's own credit spread.

Aggregate Fair Value and Aggregate Remaining Contractual Principal Balance Outstanding

        The following table reflects the aggregate fair value and the aggregate remaining contractual principal balance outstanding at September 30, 2008, for certain assets acquired in refinancing transactions and VIE segment debt for which the SFAS 159 fair value option has been elected.

 
  At September 30, 2008  
 
  Remaining Aggregate Contractual Principal Amount Outstanding   Fair Value  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Assets acquired in refinancing transactions

  $ 137,825 (1) $ 132,400  

VIE segment debt(2)

    1,681,283     853,047  

(1)
Includes $33.0 million of loans that are 90 days or more past due.

(2)
The fair-value adjustment for VIE segment debt considers interest rate, foreign exchange rates and the Company's own credit risk. The Company economically hedges interest and foreign exchange rate risk through the use of derivatives. The fair-value adjustments on these derivatives are recorded in net unrealized gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value in the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income. See Note 12.

25



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

5.    GENERAL INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO

        The credit quality of fixed-income securities in the General Investment Portfolio based on amortized cost was as follows:

General Investment Portfolio Fixed-Income Securities by Rating

Rating(1)
  At September 30, 2008
Percent of Bonds
 

AAA(2)

    49.0 %

AA

    36.9  

A

    13.5  

BBB

    0.3  

Not Rated

    0.3  
       
 

Total

    100.0 %
       

        The General Investment Portfolio includes bonds insured by FSA ("FSA-Insured Investments"). Of the bonds included in the General Investment Portfolio at September 30, 2008, 6.7% were Triple-A by virtue of insurance provided by FSA, and 29.2% were insured by other monolines (see Note 17). All of the FSA-Insured Investments were investment grade without giving effect to the FSA insurance. The average shadow rating of the FSA-Insured Investments, which is the rating without giving effect to the FSA insurance, was in the Single-A range.

26



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

5.    GENERAL INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO (Continued)

        The amortized cost and fair value of the securities in the General Investment Portfolio were as follows:

General Investment Portfolio by Security Type

 
  At September 30, 2008  
Investment Category
  Amortized
Cost
  Gross
Unrealized
Gains
  Gross
Unrealized
Losses
  Fair Value  
 
  (in thousands)
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies

  $ 85,860   $ 1,098   $ (723 ) $ 86,235  

Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions

    4,386,720     52,170     (168,898 )   4,269,992  

Mortgage-backed securities

    405,890     4,328     (5,634 )   404,584  

Corporate securities

    181,597     1,508     (9,347 )   173,758  

Foreign securities(1)

    267,157     56     (20,555 )   246,658  

Asset-backed securities

    26,542     41     (120 )   26,463  
                   
 

Total bonds

    5,353,766     59,201     (205,277 )   5,207,690  

Short-term investments

    599,357     14     (1,383 )   597,988  
                   
 

Total fixed-income securities

    5,953,123     59,215     (206,660 )   5,805,678  

Equity securities

    1,364         (549 )   815  
                   
 

Total General Investment Portfolio

  $ 5,954,487   $ 59,215   $ (207,209 ) $ 5,806,493  
                   

 

 
  At December 31, 2007  
Investment Category
  Amortized
Cost
  Gross
Unrealized
Gains
  Gross
Unrealized
Losses
  Fair Value  
 
  (in thousands)
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies

  $ 85,088   $ 4,046   $ (87 ) $ 89,047  

Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions

    3,920,509     149,893     (5,837 )   4,064,565  

Mortgage-backed securities

    390,992     5,032     (1,698 )   394,326  

Corporate securities

    190,048     3,866     (1,123 )   192,791  

Foreign securities(1)

    248,006     8,584     (285 )   256,305  

Asset-backed securities

    22,652     279     (4 )   22,927  
                   
 

Total bonds

    4,857,295     171,700     (9,034 )   5,019,961  

Short-term investments

    88,972     2,260     (1,157 )   90,075  
                   
 

Total fixed-income securities

    4,946,267     173,960     (10,191 )   5,110,036  

Equity securities

    40,020     4     (155 )   39,869  
                   
 

Total General Investment Portfolio

  $ 4,986,287   $ 173,964   $ (10,346 ) $ 5,149,905  
                   

(1)
The majority of foreign securities are government issues and are denominated primarily in British pounds.

27



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

5.    GENERAL INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO (Continued)

        The following table shows the gross unrealized losses and fair value of bonds in the General Investment Portfolio, aggregated by investment category and length of time that individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position:

Aging of Unrealized Losses of Bonds in General Investment Portfolio

 
  At September 30, 2008  
Aging Categories
  Number of
Securities
  Amortized
Cost
  Unrealized
Losses
  Fair Value   Unrealized
Loss as a
Percentage of
Amortized
Cost
 
 
  (dollars in thousands)
 

Less than Six Months(1)

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies

        $ 211   $ (2 ) $ 209     (0.9 )%
 

Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions

          1,965,526     (83,582 )   1,881,944     (4.3 )
 

Mortgage-backed securities

          74,237     (1,719 )   72,518     (2.3 )
 

Corporate securities

          92,277     (5,652 )   86,625     (6.1 )
 

Foreign securities

          249,941     (18,841 )   231,100     (7.5 )
 

Asset-backed securities

          2,762     (64 )   2,698     (2.3 )
                           
   

Total

    627     2,384,954     (109,860 )   2,275,094     (4.6 )

More than Six Months but Less than 12 Months(2)

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies

          60,912     (699 )   60,213     (1.1 )
 

Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions

          458,769     (48,440 )   410,329     (10.6 )
 

Mortgage-backed securities

          39,324     (2,867 )   36,457     (7.3 )
 

Corporate securities

          17,697     (2,421 )   15,276     (13.8 )
 

Foreign securities

          14,817     (1,714 )   13,103     (11.6 )
 

Asset-backed securities

                       
                           
   

Total

    192     591,519     (56,141 )   535,378     (9.5 )

12 Months or More(3)

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies

          358     (22 )   336     (6.1 )
 

Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions

          297,924     (36,876 )   261,048     (12.4 )
 

Mortgage-backed securities

          21,621     (1,048 )   20,573     (4.8 )
 

Corporate securities

          8,782     (1,274 )   7,508     (14.5 )
 

Foreign securities

                       
 

Asset-backed securities

          984     (56 )   928     (5.7 )
                           
   

Total

    165     329,669     (39,276 )   290,393     (11.9 )

Total

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies

          61,481     (723 )   60,758     (1.2 )
 

Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions

          2,722,219     (168,898 )   2,553,321     (6.2 )
 

Mortgage-backed securities

          135,182     (5,634 )   129,548     (4.2 )
 

Corporate securities

          118,756     (9,347 )   109,409     (7.9 )
 

Foreign securities

          264,758     (20,555 )   244,203     (7.8 )
 

Asset-backed securities

          3,746     (120 )   3,626     (3.2 )
                         
   

Total

    984   $ 3,306,142   $ (205,277 ) $ 3,100,865     (6.2 )%
                         

(1)
The largest unrealized loss on an individual investment, in terms of absolute dollars, was $1.9 million, or 8.5% of its amortized cost.

(2)
The largest unrealized loss on an individual investment, in terms of absolute dollars, was $3.0 million, or 12.4% of its amortized cost.

(3)
The largest unrealized loss on an individual investment, in terms of absolute dollars, was $2.8 million, or 27.9% of its amortized cost.

28



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

5.    GENERAL INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO (Continued)

 
  At December 31, 2007  
Aging Categories
  Number of
Securities
  Amortized
Cost
  Unrealized
Losses
  Fair Value   Unrealized
Loss as a
Percentage of
Amortized
Cost
 
 
  (dollars in thousands)
 

Less than Six Months(1)

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies

        $ 17,043   $ (17 ) $ 17,026     (0.1 )%
 

Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions

          87,782     (1,247 )   86,535     (1.4 )
 

Mortgage-backed securities

          220     (0 )   220     (0.0 )
 

Corporate securities

          4,527     (22 )   4,505     (0.5 )
 

Foreign securities

          37,836     (285 )   37,551     (0.8 )
 

Asset-backed securities

                       
                           
   

Total

    53     147,408     (1,571 )   145,837     (1.1 )

More than Six Months but Less than 12 Months(2)

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies

                       
 

Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions

          326,960     (4,132 )   322,828     (1.3 )
 

Mortgage-backed securities

          158     (6 )   152     (3.8 )
 

Corporate securities

          12,297     (433 )   11,864     (3.5 )
 

Foreign securities

                       
 

Asset-backed securities

                       
                           
   

Total

    121     339,415     (4,571 )   334,844     (1.3 )

12 Months or More(3)

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies

          2,099     (70 )   2,029     (3.3 )
 

Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions

          11,324     (458 )   10,866     (4.0 )
 

Mortgage-backed securities

          110,896     (1,692 )   109,204     (1.5 )
 

Corporate securities

          28,226     (668 )   27,558     (2.4 )
 

Foreign securities

                       
 

Asset-backed securities

          2,985     (4 )   2,981     (0.1 )
                           
   

Total

    180     155,530     (2,892 )   152,638     (1.9 )

Total

                               
 

U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies

          19,142     (87 )   19,055     (0.5 )
 

Obligations of U.S. states and political subdivisions

          426,066     (5,837 )   420,229     (1.4 )
 

Mortgage-backed securities

          111,274     (1,698 )   109,576     (1.5 )
 

Corporate securities

          45,050     (1,123 )   43,927     (2.5 )
 

Foreign securities

          37,836     (285 )   37,551     (0.8 )
 

Asset-backed securities

          2,985     (4 )   2,981     (0.1 )
                         
   

Total

    354   $ 642,353   $ (9,034 ) $ 633,319     (1.4 )%
                         

(1)
The largest unrealized loss on an individual investment, in terms of absolute dollars, was $0.2 million, or 7.7% of its amortized cost.

(2)
The largest unrealized loss on an individual investment, in terms of absolute dollars, was $0.5 million, or 6.9% of its amortized cost.

(3)
The largest unrealized loss on an individual investment, in terms of absolute dollars, was $0.3 million, or 4.5% of its amortized cost.

29



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

5.    GENERAL INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO (Continued)

        In the second quarter of 2008, the Company recorded $38.0 million in OTTI on its investment in Syncora Guarantee Re Ltd. ("SGR") preferred stock. In the third quarter of 2008, the Company sold this investment, recognizing a $1.9 million gain. The realized loss was $36.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2008. Management has determined that the unrealized loss on Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. corporate bonds held in the General Investment Portfolio was OTTI at September 30, 2008 and as a result wrote the balance down to fair value of $0.5 million resulting in a charge of $5.8 million, which was recorded as a realized loss.

        Management has determined that the remaining unrealized losses in fixed-income securities at September 30, 2008 are primarily attributable to the current interest rate environment and has concluded that these unrealized losses are temporary in nature based upon (a) the lack of principal or interest payment defaults on these securities, (b) the creditworthiness of the issuers, and (c) the Company's ability and current intent to hold these securities until a recovery in fair value or maturity. As of September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, 99.6% and 100%, respectively, of the securities that were in a gross unrealized loss position were rated investment grade. Management has based its conclusions on current facts and circumstances. Events could occur in the future that could change management conclusions about its ability and intent to hold such securities.

        The amortized cost and fair value of fixed-income investments in the General Investment Portfolio as of September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, by contractual maturity, are shown below. Actual maturities could differ from contractual maturities because borrowers have the right to call or prepay certain obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.

Distribution of Fixed-Income Securities in General Investment Portfolio
by Contractual Maturity

 
  September 30, 2008   December 31, 2007  
 
  Amortized
Cost
  Fair
Value
  Amortized
Cost
  Fair
Value
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Due in one year or less

  $ 697,963   $ 698,417   $ 148,286   $ 150,306  

Due after one year through five years

    1,073,086     1,091,392     1,353,006     1,423,378  

Due after five years through ten years

    806,998     797,173     816,987     852,469  

Due after ten years

    2,942,644     2,787,649     2,214,344     2,266,630  

Mortgage-backed securities(1)

    405,890     404,584     390,992     394,326  

Asset-backed securities(2)

    26,542     26,463     22,652     22,927  
                   
 

Total fixed-income securities in General Investment Portfolio

  $ 5,953,123   $ 5,805,678   $ 4,946,267   $ 5,110,036  
                   

(1)
Stated maturities for mortgage-backed securities of three to 30 years as of September 30, 2008 and of four to 30 years as of December 31, 2007.

(2)
Stated maturities for asset-backed securities of two to 15 years as of September 30, 2008 and of one to 15 years as of December 31, 2007.

30



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

6.    LOSSES AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES

        The Company establishes loss and loss adjustment expense ("LAE") liabilities based on its estimate of specific and non-specific losses. LAE consists of the estimated cost of settling claims, including legal and other fees and expenses associated with administering the claims process.

        The Company calculates case reserves based upon identified risks inherent in its insured portfolio. If an individual policy risk has a reasonably estimable and probable loss as of the balance sheet date, a case reserve is established. For the remaining policy risks in the portfolio, a non-specific reserve is calculated to account for the statistically estimated inherent credit losses.

        The following table presents the activity in non-specific and case reserves for the nine months ended September 30, 2008. Adjustments to reserves represent management's estimate of the amount required to cover the present value of the net cost of claims, based on statistical provisions for new originations. In order to determine the reasonableness of the non-specific reserve, management uses a methodology that references a calculation of expected loss for risks that are below-investment-grade according to the Company's ratings. In the third quarter of 2008, this reasonableness test required a higher non-specific reserve than the statistical calculation in order to account for the significant deterioration in internal credit ratings for certain first-lien RMBS risks that did not require case basis reserves but which resulted in a need for an increased non-specific reserve.

Reconciliation of Net Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

 
  Non-Specific   Case   Total  
 
  (in thousands)
 

December 31, 2007

  $ 99,999   $ 98,079   $ 198,078  
 

Incurred

    300,429         300,429  
 

Transfers

    (354,137 )   354,137      
 

Payments and other decreases

        (97,384 )   (97,384 )
               

March 31, 2008 balance

    46,291     354,832     401,123  
 

Incurred

    816,026         816,026  
 

Transfers

    (828,622 )   828,622      
 

Payments and other decreases

        (149,991 )   (149,991 )
               

June 30, 2008 balance

    33,695     1,033,463     1,067,158  
 

Incurred

    327,633         327,633  
 

Transfers

    (252,581 )   252,581      
 

Payments and other decreases

        (161,664 )   (161,664 )
               

September 30, 2008 balance

  $ 108,747   $ 1,124,380   $ 1,233,127  
               

31



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

6.    LOSSES AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES (Continued)

Case Reserve Summary

 
  September 30, 2008  
 
  Gross Par
Outstanding
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Gross Case
Reserve(1)
  Net Case
Reserve(1)
  Number
of Risks
 
 
  (dollars in thousands)
 

Asset-backed—HELOCs

  $ 5,210,736   $ 4,157,011   $ 486,641   $ 389,696     10  

Asset-backed—Alt-A CES

    1,006,954     961,506     195,015     185,871     5  

Asset-backed—Option ARM

    630,982     574,792     166,134     153,058     6  

Asset-backed—Alt-A first-lien

    1,081,662     983,857     64,216     55,983     8  

Asset-backed—NIMs

    103,981     98,975     19,865     19,623     4  

Asset-backed—Subprime

    321,589     292,172     26,205     12,419     7  

Asset-backed—other

    50,823     47,979     6,121     5,830     3  

Public finance

    1,407,993     805,942     176,584     88,716     5  

Financial products portfolio

    1,704,883     1,704,883     213,184     213,184     73  
                       
 

Total

  $ 11,519,603   $ 9,627,117   $ 1,353,965   $ 1,124,380     121  
                       

(1)
The amount of the discount at September 30, 2008 for the total gross and net case reserves was $424.3 million and $393.1 million, respectively.

 
  December 31, 2007  
 
  Gross Par
Outstanding
  Net Par
Outstanding
  Gross Case
Reserve(1)
  Net Case
Reserve(1)
  Number
of Risks
 
 
  (dollars in thousands)
 

Asset-backed—HELOCs

  $ 1,803,340   $ 1,442,657   $ 69,633   $ 56,913     5  

Asset-backed—Subprime

    22,280     18,335     3,399     1,583     2  

Asset-backed—other

    24,905     22,219     4,890     4,684     2  

Public finance

    1,164,248     560,610     96,635     34,899     4  
                       
 

Total

  $ 3,014,773   $ 2,043,821   $ 174,557   $ 98,079     13  
                       

(1)
The amount of the discount at December 31, 2007 for the total gross and net case reserves was $14.5 million and $3.3 million, respectively.

        The table below presents certain assumptions inherent in the calculations of the case and non-specific reserves:

Assumptions for Case and Non-Specific Reserves

 
  September 30,
2008
  December 31,
2007

Case reserve discount rate

  1.93%–5.90%   3.13%–5.90%

Non-specific reserve discount rate

  1.20%–7.95%   1.20%–7.95%

Current experience factor

  15.0   2.0

32



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

6.    LOSSES AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES (Continued)

        In the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008, loss and loss adjustment expenses were $327.6 million and $1,444.1 million, respectively. The increase for the nine months was driven primarily by deteriorating credit performance in HELOCs, financial products portfolio, Alt-A CES, Option ARMs, Alt-A first lien and public finance transactions. In addition, the non-specific reserves increased by $8.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2008. Management's current reserve estimates assume loss levels for transactions backed by second-lien mortgage products will remain at their peaks until mid-2009 and slowly recover to more normal rates by mid-2010. For first-lien mortgage transactions, where losses take longer to develop than in second-lien mortgage transactions, peak conditional default rates are assumed to continue until mid-2010 and then decline linearly over 12 months to 25% of the peak, remain there for three years and then taper down to 5% of peak rates over several years.

        The increase in losses paid is driven by payments on HELOC transactions. Generally, once the overcollateralization is exhausted on an insured HELOC transaction, the Company pays a claim if losses in a period exceed excess spread for the period, and to the extent excess spread exceeds losses, the Company is reimbursed for any losses paid to date. In the third quarter of 2008, the Company paid net claims of $184.9 million on HELOC transactions. This brought the inception to date net claim payments on HELOC transactions to $439.6 million. There were no claims paid on most other classes of insured transactions through September 30, 2008. Most Alt-A CES claims will not be due until 2037. Option ARM claim payments are expected to occur beginning in 2010.

        The Company assigns each insured credit to one of five designated surveillance categories to facilitate the appropriate allocation of resources to monitoring, loss mitigation efforts and rating the credit condition of each risk exposure. Such categorization is determined in part by the risk of loss and in part by the level of routine involvement required. The surveillance categories are organized as follows:

33



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

6.    LOSSES AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES (Continued)

        The table below presents the gross and net par and interest outstanding and deferred premium revenue in the insured portfolio for risks classified as described above:

Par and Interest Outstanding

 
  September 30, 2008  
 
  Gross
Par(1)
  Gross
Interest(1)
  Net
Par(1)
  Net
Interest(1)
  No. of
risks
  Weighted
Avg Life
  Gross
Deferred
Premium
Revenue(2)
  Net
Deferred
Premium
Revenue(2)
 
 
  (dollars in millions)
 

Categories I and II

  $ 541,847   $ 296,135   $ 422,225   $ 212,370     11,563     12.1   $ 3,011   $ 2,043  

Category III

    9,958     4,994     6,767     2,580     93     9.3     102     47  

Category IV

    2,296     582     2,209     559     10     4.7     0     0  

Category V no claim payments

    7,368     2,722     6,454     2,267     37     8.0     42     26  

Category V with claim payments

    5,225     897     4,085     661     18     3.8     4     2  
                                     
 

Total

  $ 566,694   $ 305,330   $ 441,740   $ 218,437     11,721     11.8   $ 3,159   $ 2,118  
                                     

(1)
Includes credit derivatives.

(2)
Excludes credit derivatives.

Case Reserves

 
  September 30,
2008
  December 31,
2007
 
 
  Gross   Net   Gross   Net  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Category V no claim payments

  $ 752,933   $ 687,099   $ 112,629   $ 64,430  

Category V with claim payments

    601,032     437,281     61,928     33,649  
                   
 

Total

  $ 1,353,965   $ 1,124,380   $ 174,557   $ 98,079  
                   

 

 
  At
September 30, 2008
Category V
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Gross undiscounted cash outflows expected in future

  $ 2,826,948  

Less: Gross estimated recoveries (S&S) in future

    1,048,996  
       
 

Subtotal

    1,777,952  

Less: Discount taken on subtotal

    423,987  
       
 

Gross case reserve

    1,353,965  

Less: Reinsurance recoverable

    229,585  
       
 

Net case reserve

  $ 1,124,380  
       

34



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

6.    LOSSES AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES (Continued)

        Management periodically evaluates its estimates for losses and LAE and establishes reserves that management believes are adequate to cover the present value of the ultimate net cost of claims. The Company will continue, on an ongoing basis, to monitor these reserves and may periodically adjust such reserves, upward or downward, based on the Company's actual loss experience, its mix of business and economic conditions. However, because of the uncertainty involved in developing these estimates, the ultimate liability may differ materially from current estimates.

        Management is aware that there are differences regarding the method of defining and measuring both case reserves and non-specific reserves among participants in the financial guaranty industry. Other financial guarantors may establish case reserves only after a default and use different techniques to estimate probable loss. Other financial guarantors may establish the equivalent of non-specific reserves, but refer to these reserves by various terms, such as, but not limited to, "unallocated losses," "active credit reserves" and "portfolio reserves," or may use different statistical techniques from those used by the Company to determine loss at a given point in time.

7.    VARIABLE INTEREST ENTITIES SEGMENT DEBT

        At September 30, 2008, interest rates on VIE segment debt were between 1.98% and 6.22% per annum. Payments due under the VIE segment, debt including $989.0 million of future interest accretion on zero coupon obligations for 2008 and each of the next four years ending December 31 and thereafter, are as follows:

Maturity Schedule of VIE Segment Debt

 
  Principal Amount  
 
  (in thousands)
 

2008

  $ 74,390  

2009

    359,172  

2010

    94,428  

2011

    16,900  

2012

    144,265  

Thereafter

    2,749,227  
       
 

Total

  $ 3,438,382  
       

8.    OUTSTANDING EXPOSURE

        The Company's insurance policies typically guarantee the scheduled payments of principal and interest on public finance and asset-backed (including credit derivatives in the insured portfolio) obligations. The gross amount of financial guaranties in force (principal and interest) was $872.0 billion at September 30, 2008 and $857.9 billion at December 31, 2007. The net amount of financial guaranties in force was $660.2 billion at September 30, 2008 and $622.9 billion at December 31, 2007.

        The Company seeks to limit its exposure to losses from writing financial guarantees by underwriting investment-grade obligations, diversifying its portfolio and maintaining rigorous collateral requirements on asset-backed obligations, as well as through reinsurance.

35



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

8.    OUTSTANDING EXPOSURE (Continued)

        The par outstanding of insured obligations in the public finance insured portfolio includes the following amounts by type of issue:

Summary of Public Finance Insured Portfolio(1)

 
  Gross Par Outstanding   Ceded Par Outstanding   Net Par Outstanding  
Types of Issues
  September 30,
2008
  December 31,
2007
  September 30,
2008
  December 31,
2007
  September 30,
2008
  December 31,
2007
 
 
  (in millions)
 

Domestic obligations

                                     
 

General obligation

  $ 156,372   $ 146,883   $ 29,961   $ 32,427   $ 126,411   $ 114,456  
 

Tax-supported

    74,774     69,534     18,438     19,453     56,336     50,081  
 

Municipal utility revenue

    64,545     57,975     13,470     13,610     51,075     44,365  
 

Health care revenue

    23,900     25,843     10,483     11,796     13,417     14,047  
 

Housing revenue

    9,614     9,898     1,927     2,187     7,687     7,711  
 

Transportation revenue

    33,019     29,189     11,394     11,782     21,625     17,407  
 

Education/University

    9,607     7,178     1,668     1,710     7,939     5,468  
 

Other domestic public finance

    2,879     2,773     685     900     2,194     1,873  
                           
   

Subtotal

    374,710     349,273     88,026     93,865     286,684     255,408  

International obligations

    45,767     49,224     18,026     21,925     27,741     27,299  
                           
 

Total public finance obligations

  $ 420,477   $ 398,497   $ 106,052   $ 115,790   $ 314,425   $ 282,707  
                           

(1)
Includes related party gross and net par outstanding of $187 million as of September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007.

36



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

8.    OUTSTANDING EXPOSURE (Continued)

        The par outstanding of insured obligations in the asset-backed insured portfolio includes the following amounts by type of collateral:

Summary of Asset-Backed Insured Portfolio

 
  Gross Par Outstanding   Ceded Par Outstanding   Net Par Outstanding  
Types of Collateral
  September 30,
2008
  December 31,
2007
  September 30,
2008
  December 31,
2007
  September 30,
2008
  December 31,
2007
 
 
  (in millions)
 

Domestic obligations

                                     
 

Residential mortgages

  $ 20,183   $ 22,882   $ 2,511   $ 3,108   $ 17,672   $ 19,774  
 

Consumer receivables(2)

    10,735     12,647     1,015     1,076     9,720     11,571  
 

Pooled corporate

    64,968     69,317     8,959     10,110     56,009     59,207  
 

Financial products(1)

    17,823     19,468             17,823     19,468  
 

Other domestic asset-backed

    3,710     4,000     1,768     2,024     1,942     1,976  
                           
   

Subtotal

    117,419     128,314     14,253     16,318     103,166     111,996  

International obligations

    28,798     37,281     4,649     5,642     24,149     31,639  
                           
 

Total asset-backed obligations

  $ 146,217   $ 165,595   $ 18,902   $ 21,960   $ 127,315   $ 143,635  
                           

(1)
The GICs are issued by the GIC Affiliates and are collateralized primarily by floating rate asset-backed securities, which consist of 66.5% non-agency RMBS.

(2)
Includes $183 million and $246 million in gross par outstanding and $172 million and $230 million in net par outstanding relating to related party insurance at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively.

9.    FEDERAL INCOME TAXES

        The total amount of unrecognized tax benefits at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007 was $14.5 million and $17.7 million, respectively. If recognized, the entire amount would favorably affect the effective tax rate. The Company recognizes interest and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits as part of income taxes. For the period ended September 30, 2008, the Company did not accrue any material amount of expenses related to interest and penalties. Cumulative interest and penalties of $1.5 million have been accrued on the Company's balance sheet at both September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007.

        The Company files consolidated income tax returns in the United States as well as separate tax returns for certain of its subsidiaries in various state, local and foreign jurisdictions, including the United Kingdom, Japan and Australia. With limited exceptions, the Company is no longer subject to income tax examinations for its 2004 and prior tax years for U.S. federal, state, local, or non-U.S. jurisdictions.

37



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

9.    FEDERAL INCOME TAXES (Continued)

        Within the next 12 months, it is reasonably possible that unrecognized tax benefits for tax positions taken on previously filed tax returns will become recognized as a result of the expiration of the statute of limitations for the 2005 tax year, which, absent any extension, will close in September 2009.

        In the third quarter of 2008, the Company recognized a tax benefit of $3.7 million, which includes the benefit of $0.6 million of interest from the expiration of the statute of limitations for the 2004 tax year.

        The 2008 and 2007 effective tax rates differ from the statutory rate of 35% as follows:

 
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
 
  2008   2007  

Tax provision (benefit) at statutory rate

    (35.0 )%   (35.0 )%

Tax-exempt investments

    (11.5 )   (167.2 )

Minority interest

    (85.2 )   77.4  

Fair-value adjustment for committed preferred trust put options

    (7.1 )    

Tax contingency

    (0.8 )   (13.6 )

Other

    0.2     2.6  
           
 

Total tax provision (benefit)

    (139.4 )%   (135.8 )%
           

        The current-year effective tax rate reflects significant mark to market income in FSA Global Funding debt that was not tax-effected. The prior-year effective tax rate reflects the lower ratio of tax-exempt interest income to year-to-date pre-tax loss due to the significant negative fair value adjustments. The additional losses from the insured RMBS-related transactions led to a distorted budgeted effective tax rate. The Company, therefore, believes it is unable to make a reliable estimate using the effective rate method and has used the actual tax calculated for the period ended September 30, 2008.

Tax Provision (Benefit)

 
  Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
 
  2008   2007  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Current Tax provision (benefit)

  $ (134,026 ) $ 63,048  

Deferred tax provision (benefit)

    (398,570 )   (95,426 )
           
 

Total tax provision (benefit)

  $ (532,596 ) $ (32,378 )
           

38



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

10.    NOTES PAYABLE TO AFFILIATE

        The Company had $179.7 million of notes payable to GIC Affiliates at September 30, 2008 and $210.1 million at December 31, 2007. For the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, the Company recorded $9.4 million and $12.0 million, respectively, of interest expense on the notes payable.

        Principal payments due under these notes for each of the remainder of 2008 and next four years ending December 31 and thereafter are as follows:

Maturity Schedule of Notes Payable

 
  Principal Amount  
 
  (in thousands)
 

2008

  $ 10,367  

2009

    8,843  

2010

    6,718  

2011

    20,450  

2012

    23,541  

Thereafter

    109,793  
       
 

Total

  $ 179,712  
       

11.    CREDIT DERIVATIVES IN THE INSURED PORTFOLIO

        Management views credit derivatives contracts as part of its financial guarantee business, under which the Company intends to hold its written and purchased positions for the entire term of the related contracts. The Company's credit derivative portfolio is comprised of (a) CDS contracts that are accounted for at fair value since they do not qualify for the financial guarantee scope exception under SFAS 133 and (b) financial guarantees of other derivative contracts that are required to be marked to market, primarily insured interest rate swaps entered into in connection with the issuance of certain public finance obligations and insured NIM securitizations issued in connection with certain RMBS financings.

        In consultation with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"), members of the financial guaranty industry have collaborated to develop a presentation of credit derivatives issued by financial guaranty insurers that is more consistent with that of non-insurers. The tables below illustrate the current required presentation with prior-period balances reclassified to conform to the current presentation. The reclassifications do not affect net income or equity, although they do affect various revenue, asset and liability line items. Changes in fair value are recorded in "Net change in fair value of credit derivatives" in the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income. The "realized gains (losses) and other settlements" component of this income statement line includes primarily premiums received and receivable on written CDS contracts and premiums paid and payable on purchased contracts. If a credit event occurred that required a payment under the contract terms, this line item would also include losses paid and payable to CDS contract counterparties due to the credit event and losses recovered and recoverable on purchased contracts.

39



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

11.    CREDIT DERIVATIVES IN THE INSURED PORTFOLIO (Continued)

        The components of net change in fair value of credit derivatives are shown in the table below:

Summary of Net Change in Fair Value of Credit Derivatives

 
  Nine Months Ended September 30,  
 
  2008   2007  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives:

             
 

Realized gains (losses) and other settlements(1)

  $ 98,764   $ 72,400  
 

Net unrealized gains (losses):

             
   

CDS:

             
     

Pooled corporate CDS:

             
       

Investment grade

    19,079     (65,348 )
       

High yield

    (133,858 )   (66,860 )
           
         

Total pooled corporate CDS

    (114,779 )   (132,208 )
     

Funded CLOs and CDOs

    (263,915 )   (196,092 )
     

Other structured obligations

    (71,589 )   (19,910 )
           
           

Total CDS

    (450,283 )   (348,210 )
   

IR swaps and FG contracts with embedded derivatives

    (17,622 )   (4,301 )
           
             

Subtotal

    (467,905 )   (352,511 )
           

Net change in fair value of credit derivatives

  $ (369,141 ) $ (280,111 )
           

        The fair value of credit derivatives are reported in the balance sheet as "other assets" or "other liabilities and minority interest" based on the net gain or loss position with each counterparty. The unrealized component includes the market appreciation or depreciation of the derivative contracts, as discussed in Note 3.

40



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

11.    CREDIT DERIVATIVES IN THE INSURED PORTFOLIO (Continued)

Unrealized Gains (Losses) of Credit Derivative Portfolio(1)

 
  At
September 30,
2008
  At
December 31,
2007
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Pooled corporate CDS:

             
 

Investment grade

  $ (71,414 ) $ (116,482 )
 

High yield(2)

    (266,116 )   (151,228 )
           
   

Total pooled corporate CDS

    (337,530 )   (267,710 )

Funded CLOs and CDOs

    (519,146 )   (269,204 )

Other structured obligations(2)

    (99,098 )   (34,883 )
           
   

Total CDS

    (955,774 )   (571,797 )

IR swaps and FG contracts with embedded derivatives(2)

    (23,692 )   (6,485 )
           
   

Total credit derivatives

  $ (979,466 ) $ (578,282 )
           

        Prior to the adoption of SFAS 157 on January 1, 2008 (the "Adoption Date"), the Company followed EITF 02-03. Under EITF 02-03, the Company was prohibited from recognizing a profit at the inception of its CDS contracts (referred to as "day one" gains) because the fair value of those derivatives is based on a valuation technique that incorporated unobservable inputs. Accordingly, the Company deferred approximately $40.9 million pre-tax of day one gains related to the fair value of CDS contracts purchased that were not permitted to be recognized under EITF 02-03. As SFAS 157 nullified the guidance in EITF 02-03, on the Adoption Date the Company recognized in beginning retained earnings as a transition adjustment $40.9 million of previously deferred day one gains (pre-tax). See Note 3 for further discussion of the Company's adoption of SFAS 157.

        The negative fair-value adjustments for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 were a result of continued widening of credit spreads in the insured CDS portfolio, offset in part by the positive income effects of the Company's own credit spread widening. Despite the structural protections associated with CDS contracts written by FSA, the significant widening of credit spreads on pooled corporate CDS and funded CDOs and CLOs, as with other structured credit products, resulted in a decline in the fair value of these contracts compared with December 31, 2007.

        As the fair value of a CDS contract incorporates all the remaining future payments to be received over the life of the CDS contract, the fair value of that contract will change, in part, solely from the passage of time as fees are received.

41



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

11.    CREDIT DERIVATIVES IN THE INSURED PORTFOLIO (Continued)

        The Company's typical CDS contract is different from CDS contracts entered into by parties that are not financial guarantors because:

42



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

11.    CREDIT DERIVATIVES IN THE INSURED PORTFOLIO (Continued)

        CDS contracts in the asset-backed portfolio represent 58.2% of total asset-backed par outstanding. The tables below summarize the credit rating, net par outstanding and remaining weighted average lives for the primary components of the Company's CDS portfolio. Net par outstanding in the table below is also included in the tables in Note 8.

Selected Information for CDS Portfolio

 
  At September 30, 2008  
 
  Credit Ratings    
   
 
 
   
  Remaining
Weighted
Average
Life
 
 
  Triple-A*(1)   Triple-A   Double-A   Other
Investment
Grades(2)
  Below
Investment
Grade(3)
  Net Par
Outstanding
 
 
   
   
   
   
   
  (in millions)
  (in years)
 

Pooled Corporate CDS:

                                           
 

Investment grade

    99 %   1 %   %   %   % $ 17,826     4.3  
 

High yield

    86     9             5     15,188     2.7  

Funded CDOs and CLOs

    28     65 (4)   6     1         32,517     2.8  

Other structured obligations(5)

    52     17 (4)   12     17     2     8,517     2.9  
                                           
   

Total

    60     33     4     2     1   $ 74,048     3.1  
                                           

 

 
  At December 31, 2007  
 
  Credit Ratings    
   
 
 
   
  Remaining
Weighted
Average
Life
 
 
  Triple-A*(1)   Triple-A   Double-A   Other
Investment
Grades(2)
  Below
Investment
Grade
  Net Par
Outstanding
 
 
   
   
   
   
   
  (in millions)
  (in years)
 

Pooled Corporate CDS:

                                           
 

Investment grade

    91 %   1 %   8 %   %   % $ 22,883     4.1  
 

High yield

    95             5         14,765     3.3  

Funded CDOs and CLOs

    28     72 (4)               33,000     3.4  

Other structured obligations(5)

    62     36 (4)   1     1         13,529     2.1  
                                           
   

Total

    62     34     3     1       $ 84,177     3.4  
                                           

(1)
Triple-A*, also referred to as "Super Triple-A," indicates a level of first-loss protection generally exceeding 1.3 times the level required by a rating agency for a Triple-A rating.

(2)
Various investment grades below Double-A minus.

(3)
Amount includes one CDS with Double-B underlying rating and one CDS with Single-B underlying rating.

(4)
Amounts include transactions previously wrapped by other monolines.

(5)
Primarily infrastructure obligations and European mortgage-backed securities. Also includes $398.0 million and $223.9 million at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively, in U.S. RMBS net par outstanding. All U.S. RMBS exposures were rated Double-A or higher.

43



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

12.    VARIABLE INTEREST ENTITIES SEGMENT DERIVATIVE INSTRUMENTS

        The Company enters into derivative contracts to manage interest rate and foreign currency exposure in its VIE segment debt and VIE Segment Investment Portfolio. All gains and losses from changes in the fair value of derivatives are recognized in the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income whether designated in fair-value hedging relationships or not. These derivatives generally include futures, interest rate and currency swap agreements, which are primarily utilized to convert fixed-rate debt and investments into U.S. dollar floating rate debt and investments. Hedge accounting is applied to fair-value hedges provided certain criteria are met. As a result of interest rate fluctuations, fixed-rate assets and liabilities appreciate or depreciate in market value. Gains or losses on the derivative instruments that are linked to the fixed-rate assets and liabilities being hedged are expected to substantially offset this unrealized appreciation or depreciation relating to the risk being hedged.

        The Company uses foreign currency contracts to manage the foreign exchange risk associated with certain foreign currency-denominated assets and liabilities. Gains or losses on the derivative instruments that are linked to the foreign currency denominated assets or liabilities being hedged are expected to substantially offset this variability.

        In order for a derivative to qualify for hedge accounting, it must be highly effective at reducing the risk associated with the exposure being hedged. In order for a derivative to be designated as a hedge, there must be documentation of the risk management objective and strategy, including identification of the hedging instrument, the hedged item and the risk exposure, and how effectiveness is to be assessed prospectively and retrospectively. To assess effectiveness, the Company uses analysis of the sensitivity of fair values to changes in the risk being hedged, as well as dollar value comparisons of the change in the fair value of the derivative to the change in the fair value of the hedged item that is attributable to the risk being hedged. The extent to which a hedging instrument has been and is expected to continue to be effective at achieving offsetting changes in fair value must be assessed and documented at least quarterly. Any ineffectiveness must be reported in current-period earnings. If it is determined that a derivative is not highly effective at hedging the designated exposure, hedge accounting is discontinued.

        An effective fair-value hedge is defined as one whose periodic change in fair value is 80% to 125% correlated with the change in fair value of the hedged item. The difference between a perfect hedge (i.e., the change in fair value of the hedge and hedged item offset one another so that there is zero effect on the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income, referred to as being "100% correlated") and the actual correlation within the 80% to 125% effectiveness range is the ineffective portion of the hedge. A failed hedge is one whose correlation falls outside of the 80% to 125% effectiveness range. The table below presents the net gain (loss) related to the ineffective portion of the Company's fair-value hedges.

Hedging Ineffectiveness

 
  Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
  2008   2007
 
  (in thousands)

Ineffective portion of fair-value hedges(1)

  $ (1,711 ) N/A

44



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

12.    VARIABLE INTEREST ENTITIES SEGMENT DERIVATIVE INSTRUMENTS (Continued)

        The inception-to-date net unrealized gain on the outstanding derivatives held by the VIE segment of $441.6 million and $474.4 million at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively, was recorded in other assets.

        As of January 1, 2008, the Company adopted SFAS 159 and elected the fair value option for certain fixed-rate liabilities in the VIE segment debt portfolio, as described in Note 4. The fair value option allows the fair value adjustment on these liabilities to be recorded in earnings without hedge documentation and effectiveness testing requirements prescribed under SFAS 133. However, when the fair value option is elected, the fair value adjustment of liabilities must incorporate all components of fair value, including valuation adjustments related to the reporting entity's own credit risk. Under hedge accounting, only the component of fair value attributable to the hedged risk (i.e. interest rate risk) was recorded in earnings.

        Fixed-rate assets in the available-for-sale VIE Segment Investment Portfolio that are economically hedged with interest rate swaps have been designated in fair value hedging relationships since November 2007. Under fair value hedge accounting, the fair value adjustments related to the hedged risk are recorded in earnings and adjust the amortized cost basis of the related assets. The interest and fair value adjustments on the derivatives and the interest income and fair value adjustment on the assets attributable to the hedged interest rate risk are recorded in "Net interest income from variable interest entities segment" in the consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income, thereby offsetting each other and reflecting economic inefficiency on the hedging relationship in earnings. The Company does not seek to apply hedge accounting to all of its economic hedges.

45



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

13.    OTHER ASSETS AND OTHER LIABILITIES AND MINORITY INTEREST

        The detailed balances that comprise other assets and other liabilities and minority interest at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007 are as follows:

Other Assets

 
  At September 30,
2008
  At December 31,
2007
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Other assets:

             
 

VIE segment derivatives at fair value

  $ 608,979   $ 634,458  
 

Credit derivatives at fair value

    211,943     124,282  
 

VIE other invested assets

    303,747     301,599  
 

Tax and loss bonds

    155,352     153,844  
 

Accrued interest in VIE segment investment portfolio

    20,249     14,333  
 

Accrued interest income on general investment portfolio

    69,762     63,317  
 

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

    7,600     39,669  
 

Committed preferred trust put options at fair value

    78,000      
 

Federal income tax receivable

    130,829      
 

Other assets

    278,942     125,118  
           

Total other assets

  $ 1,865,403   $ 1,456,620  
           

Other Liabilities and Minority Interest

 
  At
September 30, 2008
  At
December 31, 2007
 
 
  (in thousands)
 

Other liabilities and minority interest:

             
 

Credit derivatives at fair value

  $ 1,191,409   $ 702,564  
 

Equity participation plan

        101,307  
 

Accrued interest on VIE segment debt

    79,878     69,243  
 

Payable for securities purchased

    32,160      
 

Other liabilities

    163,607     156,927  
 

Minority interest

    953,288     138,233  
           

Total other liabilities and minority interest

  $ 2,420,342   $ 1,168,274  
           

46



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

14.    SEGMENT REPORTING

        The Company operates in two business segments: financial guaranty and variable interest entities. The financial guaranty segment is primarily in the business of providing financial guaranty insurance, which it has historically provided for both public finance and asset-backed obligations. The VIE segment includes the VIEs' operations. See Note 1 for description of business. The following tables summarize the financial information by segment on a pre-tax basis, as of and for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007.

Financial Information Summary by Segment

 
  Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
  Variable
Interest
Entities
  Intersegment
Eliminations
  Total  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Revenues:

                         
 

External

  $ 241,721   $ 1,034,865   $   $ 1,276,586  
 

Intersegment

    1,975         (1,975 )    

Expenses:

                         
 

External

    (1,556,017 )   (102,694 )       (1,658,711 )
 

Intersegment

        (1,975 )   1,975      
                   

Income (loss) before income taxes

    (1,312,321 )   930,196         (382,125 )

Minority interest

        (930,196 )       (930,196 )

GAAP income to operating earnings adjustments

    250,300             250,300  
                   

Pre-tax segment operating earnings (losses)

  $ (1,062,021 ) $   $   $ (1,062,021 )
                   

Segment assets

  $ 9,246,493   $ 2,311,703   $ (4 ) $ 11,558,192  

 

 
  Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
  Variable
Interest
Entities
  Intersegment
Eliminations
  Total  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Revenues:

                         
 

External

  $ 186,703   $ 89,967   $   $ 276,670  
 

Intersegment

    2,513         (2,513 )    

Expenses:

                         
 

External

    (160,353 )   (140,165 )       (300,518 )
 

Intersegment

        (2,513 )   2,513      
                   

Income (loss) before income taxes

    28,863     (52,711 )       (23,848 )

Minority interest

        52,711         52,711  

GAAP income to operating earnings adjustments

    356,358             356,358  
                   

Pre-tax segment operating earnings (losses)

  $ 385,221   $   $   $ 385,221  
                   

Segment assets

  $ 7,187,242   $ 2,803,924   $   $ 9,991,166  

47



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

14.    SEGMENT REPORTING (Continued)

Reconciliations of Segments' Pre-Tax Operating Earnings (Losses) to Net Income (Loss)

 
  Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
  Variable
Interest
Entities
  Intersegment
Eliminations
  Total  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Pretax operating earnings (losses)

  $ (1,062,021 ) $   $   $ (1,062,021 )

Operating earnings to GAAP income adjustments

    (250,300 )           (250,300 )

Tax (provision) benefit

                      532,596  
                         

Net income (loss)

                    $ (779,725 )
                         

 

 
  Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007  
 
  Financial
Guaranty
  Variable
Interest
Entities
  Intersegment
Eliminations
  Total  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Pretax operating earnings (losses)

  $ 385,221   $   $   $ 385,221  

Operating earnings to GAAP income adjustments

    (356,358 )           (356,358 )

Tax (provision) benefit

                      32,378  
                         

Net income (loss)

                    $ 61,241  
                         

        The intersegment revenues and expenses relate to premiums paid by FSA Global on FSA-insured notes.

        GAAP income to operating earnings adjustments are primarily comprised of fair-value adjustments deemed to be non-economic. Such adjustments relate to (1) non-economic fair-value adjustments for credit derivatives in the insured portfolio, (2) non-economic fair-value adjustments for instruments with economically hedged risks and (3) fair-value adjustments attributable to the Company's own credit risk. Management believes that by making such adjustments the measure more closely reflects the underlying economic performance of segment operations.

15.    RECENTLY ISSUED ACCOUNTING STANDARDS

        In September 2008, the FASB issued Final FASB Staff Position ("FSP") FAS No. 133-1 and FIN 45-4, "Disclosures about Credit Derivatives and Certain Guarantees: An Amendment of FASB Statement No. 133 and FASB Interpretation No. 45; and Clarification of the Effective Date of FASB Statement No. 161" ("FSP 133-1 and FIN 45-4"). FSP 133-1 and FIN 45-4 amend the disclosure requirements of SFAS 133 to require the seller of credit derivatives, including hybrid financial instruments with embedded credit derivatives, to disclose additional information regarding, among other things, the nature of the credit derivative, information regarding the facts and circumstances that may require performance or payment under the credit derivative, and the nature of any recourse provisions the seller can use for recovery of payments made under the credit derivative. FSP 133-1 and FIN 45-4 also amend the disclosure requirements in FASB Interpretation No. 45, "Guarantor's Accounting and Disclosure Requirements for Guarantees, Including Indirect Guarantees of Indebtedness of Others" ("FIN 45") to require additional disclosure about the payment/performance

48



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

15.    RECENTLY ISSUED ACCOUNTING STANDARDS (Continued)


risk of a guarantee. The Company will adopt FSP 133 and FIN 45-4 for its financial statements prepared as of December 31, 2008. As FSP 133 and FIN 45-4 only requires additional disclosure concerning credit derivatives and guarantees, the adoption of FSP 133 and FIN 45-4 will not affect the Company's consolidated financial position and result of operations or cash flows.

        In May 2008 the FASB issued SFAS No. 163, "Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts—an interpretation of FASB Statement No. 60" ("SFAS 163"). This statement addresses accounting standards applicable to existing and future financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance contracts issued by insurance companies under GAAP, including accounting for claims liability measurement and recognition and premium recognition and related disclosures. SFAS 163 requires the Company to recognize a claim liability when there is an expectation that a claim loss will exceed the unearned premium revenue (liability) on a policy basis based on the present value of expected net cash flows. The premium earnings methodology under SFAS 163 will be based on a constant rate methodology. SFAS 163 does not apply to financial guarantee insurance contracts accounted for as derivatives within the scope of SFAS 133. SFAS 163 also requires the Company to provide expanded disclosures relating to factors affecting the recognition and measurement of financial guaranty contracts. SFAS 163 is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2008, except for the presentation and disclosure requirements related to claim liabilities which are effective for financial statements prepared as of September 30, 2008. The cumulative effect of initially applying SFAS 163 is required to be recognized as an adjustment to the opening balance of retained earnings. The Company is currently assessing the impact of SFAS 163 on the Company's consolidated financial position and results of operations.

        In March 2008, the FASB issued SFAS No. 161, "Disclosures about Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities, an amendment of SFAS 133" ("SFAS 161"). This statement amends and expands the disclosure requirements for derivative instruments and hedging activities by requiring companies to provide enhanced disclosures about (a) how and why an entity uses derivative instruments, (b) how derivative instruments and related hedged items are accounted for under SFAS 133 and its related interpretations, and (c) how derivative instruments and related hedged items affect an entity's financial position, financial performance, and cash flows. This statement is effective for fiscal years and interim periods beginning after November 15, 2008. Since SFAS 161 requires only additional disclosures concerning derivatives and hedging activities, adoption of SFAS 161 will not affect the Company's consolidated financial position and results of operations or cash flows.

        In December 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 160, "Noncontrolling Interests in Consolidated Financial Statements" ("SFAS 160"). SFAS 160 will change the accounting for minority interests, which will be recharacterized as noncontrolling interests and classified by the parent company as a component of equity. This statement is effective for fiscal years beginning on or after December 15, 2008, with early adoption prohibited. Upon adoption, SFAS 160 requires retroactive adoption of the presentation and disclosure requirements for existing minority interests and prospective adoption for all other requirements. The Company is currently assessing the impact of SFAS 160 on the Company's consolidated financial position and results of operations.

16.    COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES

        In the ordinary course of business, the Company is party to litigation.

49



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

16.    COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES (Continued)

        On November 15, 2006, the Parent received a subpoena from the Antitrust Division of the U.S. Department of Justice issued in connection with an ongoing criminal investigation of bid rigging of awards of municipal GICs. On November 16, 2006, the Company received a subpoena from the SEC related to an ongoing industry-wide investigation concerning the bidding of municipal GICs. The subpoenas requested that the Parent and the Company furnish to the DOJ and SEC records and other information with respect to the Parent's municipal GIC business.

        On February 4, 2008, the Parent received a "Wells Notice" from the staff of the Philadelphia Regional Office of the SEC relating to the SEC's investigation concerning the bidding of municipal GICs. The Wells Notice indicates that the SEC staff is considering recommending that the SEC authorize the staff to bring a civil injunctive action and/or institute administrative proceedings against the Parent, alleging violations of Section 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and Rule 10b-5 thereunder and Section 17(a) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

        As previously disclosed, between March and July 2008 seven putative class action lawsuits were filed in federal court alleging antitrust violations in the municipal derivatives industry; an eighth was filed later in July, 2008. Five of these cases name both the Parent and the Company:

        Three of the cases name the Parent only: (a) City of Oakland, California, v. AIG Financial Products Corp. (filed on or about April 23, 2008 in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California ("N.D. Cal."), Case No. 3:08-cv-2116, transferred to the S.D.N.Y. as Case No. 1:08-cv-6340); (b) County of Alameda, California v. AIG Financial Products Corp. (filed on or about July 8, 2008 in the N.D. Cal., Case No. 3:08-cv-3278, transferred to the S.D.N.Y. as Case No. 1:08-cv-7034); and (c) City of Fresno, California v. AIG Financial Products Corp. (filed on or about July 17, 2008 in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of California, Case No. 1.08-cv-1045, transferred to the S.D.N.Y. as Case No. 1:08-cv-7355).

        These cases have been coordinated and consolidated for pretrial proceedings in the S.D.N.Y. as MDL 1950, In re Municipal Derivatives Antitrust Litigation, Case No. 1:08-cv-2516 ("MDL 1950"). Interim lead counsel for the MDL 1950 plaintiffs filed a Consolidated Class Action Complaint ("Consolidated Complaint") in August 2008 alleging violations of the federal antitrust laws. Defendants filed motions to dismiss the Consolidated Complaint. Plaintiffs Oakland, Alameda, and Fresno also allege violations under California law, and the MDL 1950 court has determined that it will handle

50



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

16.    COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES (Continued)


federal claims alleged in the Consolidated Complaint before addressing state claims. The complaints in these lawsuits generally seek unspecified monetary damages, interest, attorneys' fees and other costs. The Company cannot reasonably estimate the possible loss or range of loss that may arise from these lawsuits.

        The Parent and the Company also are named in five non-class actions originally filed in the California Superior Courts alleging violations of California law related to the municipal derivatives industry:

        These five cases have been removed to federal court, and plaintiffs have filed motions to remand all five actions to the state courts in which the cases were filed. The first hearing on a motion to remand has occurred, but the court has not yet issued a ruling. Defendants have noticed each of the removed cases as a tag-along action to MDL 1950, and the parties have completed briefing plaintiffs' opposition to the Judicial Panel on Multidistrict Litigation's ("JPML") conditional transfer of the Los Angeles and Stockton actions to MDL 1950 in the S.D.N.Y. These conditional transfer motions and plaintiffs' oppositions to them are scheduled to be addressed at a JPML hearing session in November. The complaints in these lawsuits generally seek unspecified monetary damages, interest, attorneys' fees, costs and other expenses. The Company cannot reasonably estimate the possible loss or range of loss that may arise from these lawsuits.

        In August 2008 a number of financial institutions and other parties, including the Company, were named as defendants in two civil actions brought in the circuit court of Jefferson County, Alabama relating to the County's problems meeting its debt obligations on its $3.2 billion sewer debt: (i) Charles E. Wilson vs. JPMorgan Chase & Co et al (filed on or about August 8, 2008 in the Circuit Court of Jefferson County, Alabama), Case No. 01-CV-2008-901907.00, a putative class action; and State of Alabama, ex. rel. Fowler, et al vs. Blount, Parrish & Roton, et al (filed on or about August 28, 2008 in the Circuit Court of Jefferson County, Alabama), Case No. 01-CV-2008-002780.00. The actions were brought on behalf of rate payers, tax payers and citizens residing in Jefferson County, as well as, in the

51



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

16.    COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES (Continued)


Fowler action, Citizens for Sewer Accountability, Inc., a not for profit corporation. The first action alleges conspiracy and fraud, and the second alleges corruption and bribery, both in connection with the issuance of the County's debt. The complaints in these lawsuits seek unspecified monetary damages, interest, attorneys' fees and other costs, as well as, in the Fowler matter, a revocation of FSA's charter. The Company cannot reasonably estimate the possible loss or range of loss that may arise from these lawsuits.

        The Parent has also received various regulatory inquiries and requests for information. These include subpoenas duces tecum and interrogatories from the State of Connecticut Attorney General related to antitrust concerns associated with the municipal rating scales employed by Moody's and a proposal by Moody's to assign corporate equivalent ratings to municipal obligations.

17.    EXPOSURE TO MONOLINES

        The tables below summarize the exposure to each financial guaranty monoline insurer by exposure category and the underlying ratings of the Company's insured risks.

Summary of Exposure to Monolines

 
  At September 30, 2008  
 
  Insured Portfolios    
 
 
  FSA
Insured Par
Outstanding(1)
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
  General
Investment
Portfolio(2)
 
 
  (in millions)
  (in thousands)
 

Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. 

  $ 997   $ 33,715   $ 84,233  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc. 

    97     25,189     1,941  

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd. 

        12,160      

Syncora Guarantee Inc. 

    1,444     4,797     33,713  

CIFG Assurance North America Inc. 

    199     1,977     25,882  

Ambac Assurance Corporation

    5,055     1,218     621,579  

ACA Financial Guaranty Corporation

    20     949      

Financial Guaranty Insurance Company

    5,513     282     385,993  

MBIA Insurance Corporation(3)

    4,198         582,704  
               
 

Total

  $ 17,523   $ 80,287   $ 1,736,045  
               

(1)
Represents transactions with second-to-pay FSA insurance that were previously insured by other monolines. Based on net par outstanding. Includes credit derivatives in the insured portfolio.

(2)
Based on amortized cost, which includes write-down of securities that were deemed to be OTTI.

(3)
In addition to amounts shown on the table, the VIE Investment Portfolio includes a bond insured by MBIA Insurance Corporation that has an amortized cost of $12.6 million.

52



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

17.    EXPOSURE TO MONOLINES (Continued)

Exposures to Monolines and Ratings of Underlying Risks

 
  At September 30, 2008  
 
  Insured Portfolios(1)    
 
 
  FSA
Insured Par
Outstanding(2)
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
  General
Investment
Portfolio(3)
 
 
  (in millions)
  (in thousands)
 

Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.

                   
 

Exposure(4)

  $ 997   $ 33,715   $ 84,233  
   

Triple-A

    %   6 %   2 %
   

Double-A

    10     40      
   

Single-A

    27     36     81  
   

Triple-B

    22     16     17  
   

Below Investment Grade

    41     2      

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

                   
 

Exposure(4)

  $ 97   $ 25,189   $ 1,941  
   

Triple-A

    4 %   8 %   %
   

Double-A

        42     100  
   

Single-A

    14     39      
   

Triple-B

    57     10      
   

Below Investment Grade

    25     1      

RAM Reinsurance Co. Ltd.

                   
 

Exposure(4)

  $   $ 12,160   $  
   

Triple-A

    %   14 %   %
   

Double-A

        41      
   

Single-A

        32      
   

Triple-B

        11      
   

Below Investment Grade

        2      

Syncora Guarantee Inc.

                   
 

Exposure(4)

  $ 1,444   $ 4,797   $ 33,713  
   

Triple-A

    29 %   %   %
   

Double-A

        12     17  
   

Single-A

    24     37     80  
   

Triple-B

    24     51      
   

Below Investment Grade

    23          
   

Not Rated

            3  

53



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

17.    EXPOSURE TO MONOLINES (Continued)

 
  At September 30, 2008  
 
  Insured Portfolios(1)    
 
 
  FSA
Insured Par
Outstanding(2)
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
  General
Investment
Portfolio(3)
 
 
  (in millions)
  (in thousands)
 

CIFG Assurance North America Inc.

                   
 

Exposure(4)

  $ 199   $ 1,977   $ 25,882  
   

Triple-A

    %   2 %   %
   

Double-A

    2     27      
   

Single-A

    9     36     100  
   

Triple-B

    89     31      
   

Below Investment Grade

        4      

Ambac Assurance Corporation

                   
 

Exposure(4)

  $ 5,055   $ 1,218   $ 621,579  
   

Triple-A

    6 %     %   %
   

Double-A

    41     8     41  
   

Single-A

    33     37     54  
   

Triple-B

    13     55     4  
   

Below Investment Grade

    7     0     1  

ACA Financial Guaranty Corporation

                   
 

Exposure(4)

  $ 20   $ 949   $  
   

Triple-A

    %   %   %
   

Double-A

    65     73      
   

Single-A

        26      
   

Triple-B

    10     1      
   

Below Investment Grade

    25          

Financial Guaranty Insurance Company

                   
 

Exposure(4)

  $ 5,513   $ 282   $ 385,993  
   

Triple-A

    %   %   %
   

Double-A

    32         32  
   

Single-A

    57     100     65  
   

Triple-B

    9         3  
   

Below Investment Grade

    2          

54



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

17.    EXPOSURE TO MONOLINES (Continued)

 
  At September 30, 2008  
 
  Insured Portfolios(1)    
 
 
  FSA
Insured Par
Outstanding(2)
  Ceded Par
Outstanding
  General
Investment
Portfolio(3)
 
 
  (in millions)
  (in thousands)
 

MBIA Insurance Corporation

                   
 

Exposure(4)

  $ 4,198   $   $ 582,704  
   

Triple-A

    %   %   %
   

Double-A

    53         45  
   

Single-A

    13         48  
   

Triple-B

    34         5  
   

Below Investment Grade

            2  

(1)
Ratings are based on internal ratings.

(2)
Represents transactions with second-to-pay FSA insurance that were previously insured by other monolines.

(3)
Ratings are based on the lower of S&P or Moody's.

(4)
Represent par balances for the insured portfolios and amortized cost for the investment portfolios.

        In July 2008, the Company agreed to re-assume all reinsurance ceded to SGR, which consisted of $8.4 billion in outstanding par, in exchange for the June 30, 2008 statutory-basis ceded unearned premium, net of its applicable ceding commission, any case basis reserves established at that date and a $35.0 million commutation premium. The Company agreed to cede a portion of this business, approximately $6.4 billion of outstanding par with no outstanding case basis reserves, to Syncora Guarantee Inc. ("SGI"), an affiliate of SGR, as of the re-assumption date. Ceded net unearned premiums and future ceded case reserves are secured by collateral then held in a trust. Since SGI was an affiliate of SGR, The Company did not consider the portion of the business bought back from SGR and subsequently ceded to SGI as commuted and as a result did not record any commutation gain on that portion of the business. The Company recorded a commutation gain of $10.0 million on the business it retained, which was recorded in other income in the statement of operations and comprehensive income. In the third quarter 2008, $14.3 million of earned premium related to this commutation.

        In September 2008, the Company agreed to re-assume a portion of the business it ceded to SGI in July for the statutory basis ceded unearned premium, net of its applicable ceding commissions. This resulted in a commutation gain of $10 million, which was recorded in other income in the statement of operations and comprehensive income. In the third quarter of 2008, $1.5 million of earned premium related to this commutation.

        Due to a liquidation order against Bluepoint RE, Limited ("Bluepoint"), the Company is treating all reinsurance ceded to Bluepoint as cancelled as of the date of its liquidation order. The ceded statutory basis unearned premium and case basis reserves with Bluepoint were secured by collateral in a trust and as a result the Company was able to take credit for such balances. Subsequent to

55



FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) (Continued)

17.    EXPOSURE TO MONOLINES (Continued)


September 30, 2008, the Company drew down on a portion of the collateral equal to the net statutory basis unearned premium and case basis reserves. In the third quarter 2008, $9.4 million of earned premium related to this commutation.

        In September of 2008, the Company commuted substantially all its ceded and assumed business with Financial Guaranty Insurance Company ("FGIC"). In the third quarter 2008, $1.2 million of earned premium related to this commutation.

18.    OTHER INCOME

        The following table shows the components of other income. In 2008, other income included $20.0 million related to commutation gains (See Note 16).

 
  Nine Months Ended September 30,  
 
  2008   2007  
 
  (in thousands)
 

Realized foreign exchange gain (loss)

  $ 1,835   $ 8,789  

Commutation gain

    20,000      

Net realized gains (losses) from assets acquired in refinancing transactions

    (4,383 )   1,439  

Other

    4,437     3,993  
           
 

Subtotal

  $ 21,889   $ 14,221  
           

19.    SUBSEQUENT EVENTS

        On November 14, 2008, Dexia announced that Dexia and Assured Guaranty Ltd. ("Assured Guaranty") have entered into a purchase agreement for Assured Guaranty to acquire all of Dexia's shares of the Company, subject to the completion of specified closing conditions, including receipt of regulatory and Assured Guaranty shareholder approvals and confirmation from S&P, Moody's and Fitch Guaranty that the acquisition of the Company would not have a negative impact on the financial strength ratings of Assured insurance companies or the Company's insurance subsidiaries. Management is evaluating the potential effect on the consolidated financial statements for the fourth quarter of 2008.

56




QuickLinks

INDEX
FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited) (in thousands, except share data)
FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS AND COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (unaudited) (in thousands)
FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (unaudited) (in thousands)
FINANCIAL SECURITY ASSURANCE INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited)