-At the Q1 2026 results, management reiterated their confidence in FY 2026 Group
revenues reaching around € 33bn, supported by growth in net commission and fee
income as well as NII in key banking book segments and other funding growing to
€ 14bn, though market implied rates are currently higher than those used in planning
before November’s Investor Deep Dive
Profitability:
-At the Q1 2026 results, Raja Akram said that Deutsche Bank is comfortable with the
trajectory in profitability and continues to expect strong operating performance in
2026; this expectation was reiterated at the Goldman Sachs European Financials
Conference, and takes account of SVA-accretive management actions such as those in
Q2 outlined above
Capital and capital distribution:
-Raja Akram guided at the Goldman Sachs European Financials Conference that he
expects the CET1 ratio to remain right in the middle of the operating range between
13.5-14.0% for the remainder of FY 2026; he anticipates that a CET1 ratio increase
above 14% would likely be a post-2026 dynamic
-He also stated that the bank is already deducting capital in line with the targeted 60%
payout ratio, with the intent for another share buyback in 2026; he clarified that a
second share buyback would not be dependent on a CET1 ratio above 14%
-Richard Stewart stated at the Q1 2026 Fixed Income Investor Call that the Q1 2026
RWA increase was exceptional, and said that this growth should not be extrapolated
to future quarters
-He also reiterated that the bank’s strategy includes optimizing and reallocating
lower-return RWA; in addition, to further improve balance sheet velocity, the bank
plans to increase the RWA benefit from new significant risk transfer transactions
(SRT) by approximately 20%, to be executed over FY 2026 and FY 2027
Issuance and credit ratings:
-As of the end of June, the bank has issued ~€ 7.9bn YTD out of the € 10-15bn funding
plan for the year; in terms of capital instruments, the bank issued € 1.25bn AT1 notes
on May 7, 2026 and called a GBP 650m AT1 on April 30, 2026
-On April 30, 2026 Fitch Ratings revised the bank’s outlook to “Positive” from “Stable”,
while affirming the Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at “A-“
-On May 12, 2026, Fitch Ratings upgraded Deutsche Bank’s Long-Term IDR by two
notches to “A+” from “A-“; in addition, the derivative counterparty, deposit and senior
preferred ratings were upgraded by one notch; drivers of the changes were the roll-
out of updated bank rating criteria
Next significant events:
-July 29, 2026 – Q2 2026 results – Analyst Conference Call
July 30, 2026 – Q2 2026 results – Fixed Income Call