-51-
 
The allowance for credit losses as a percentage of total finance
 
receivables increased to 6.75% as of September 30, 2020
 
,
 
from 2.15% 
as of December 31, 2019.
 
This increase in reserve coverage is primarily driven by an $11.9
 
million increase from the January 1, 2020 
adoption of CECL, and $36.6 million of Provision for credit
 
losses recognized as a result of qualitative and forecast adjustments
 
in the 
nine-months ended September 30, 2020 as a result of the estimated
 
impact to the portfolio from the COVID-19 pandemic,
 
as discussed 
Provision for credit
 
losses
 
The provision for credit losses recognized after the adoption
 
of CECL is primarily driven by origination volumes, offset
 
by the 
reversal of the allowance for any contracts sold, plus adjustments for
 
changes in estimate each subsequent reporting period.
 
For 
2020, given the wide changes in the macroeconomic environment
 
driven by COVID-19, the changes in estimate is the most 
significant driver of provision.
 
In contrast, the allowance estimate recognized in 2019 under
 
the probable, incurred model was 
based on the current estimate of probable net credit
 
losses inherent in the portfolio. 
For the three months ended September 30, 2020 the $ 7.2
 
million provision for credit losses recognized was $ 0.5 million less 
than the $ 7.7 million provision recognized for the three months ended
 
September 30, 2019.
 
Provision for the three months ended 
September 30, 2020 includes $2.0 million related to COVID from updates
 
to both the economic forecast and qualitative 
adjustments to incorporate timing adjustments, $4.2 million from originations,
 
and $1.0 million for other updates, primarily 
driven by updating
 
the model loss curves.
 
For the nine-months ended September 30, 2020, the $ 51.2
 
million provision for credit losses recognized was $ 33.4
 
million 
greater than the $ 17.8 million provision recognized for same
 
period of 2019.
 
Provision for the nine-months ended September 
30, 2020 includes $36.6 million related to COVID from updates to
 
both the economic forecast and qualitative adjustments to 
incorporate timing adjustments, $13.0 million from originations, and $1.
 
6
 
million for other updates, primarily driven by updating 
the model loss curves. 
For the Equipment Finance portfolio, our estimate of elevated
 
COVID-related losses is primarily driven by updates to a 
reasonable and supportable forecast based on the modeled correlation
 
of changes in the loss experience of the our portfolio to 
certain economic statistics, specifically changes in the unemployment
 
rate and changes in the number of business bankruptcies.
 
Starting in the first quarter, we are
 
using a 6-month period for applying the economic statistics due to
 
the uncertainty in the 
current economic environment.
 
For Equipment Finance, we recognized forecast and qualitative adjustments
 
for the three and 
nine-months ended September 30, 2020 of $2.1 million and
 
$26.5 million, respectively, related
 
to COVID based on applying the 
economic forecast adjustment, and from incorporating timing
 
adjustments. 
For the CVG and Working
 
Capital portfolio segments, our estimate of increased losses is based
 
on qualitative adjustments, taking 
into consideration alternative scenarios to determine the Company’s
 
estimate of the probable impact of the economic shutdown.
 
For CVG, we recognized qualitative provision for the three and
 
nine-months ended September 30, 2020 of $3.7
 
million and $7.0 
million, respectively.
 
For the third quarter, qualitative adjustments
 
primarily are driven by sub-segmenting a population of
 
motor 
coach receivables that have prolonged industry-specific risks.
 
For both periods of 2020, the reserve includes adjustments to 
incorporate economic risk. For Working
 
Capital, we recognized qualitative provision based on
 
our risk assessment of the 
expected performance of this segment in the current economic
 
environment.
 
For the three ended September 30, 2020 that 
includes a credit, or provision reversal, of $3.9 million related
 
to refining our risk assessment of this portfolio segment due
 
to 
positive performance in the third quarter.
 
That credit brings the Working
 
Capital qualitative provision for the nine-months ended 
September 30, 2020 to $3.1 million. 
The qualitative and economic adjustments to our allowance take into
 
consideration information and our judgments as of 
September 30, 2020,
 
and are based in part on an expectation for the extent and timing of impacts
 
from COVID-19 on 
unemployment rates and business bankruptcies, and are based
 
on our current expectations of the performance of our portfolio in 
the current environment.
 
The COVID-19 pandemic, and related business shutdowns, is
 
still ongoing, and the extent of the effects 
of the pandemic on our portfolio depends on future developments,
 
which are highly uncertain and are difficult to predict.
 
We 
may recognize credit losses in excess of our reserve, or increases to our
 
credit loss estimate, in the future, and such increases may 
be significant, based on future developments. 
Net Charge-offs.
 
Equipment Finance and TFG receivables are generally charged
 
-off when they are contractually past due for 120
 
days or more.
 
Working Capital receivables
 
are generally charged-off at 60 days past
 
due.