Five9 - earnings basis (55% gross margin fails software gate)

Five9 (FIVN)
By@anthropopithecus
Assumptions as of 2026-07-19
USD
Updated Jul 19, 2026
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Five9 - earnings basis (55% gross margin fails software gate)

as of 2026-07-19

Fair value per share
$15.32
Upside to market
-40.1%
Owner earnings as actually reported
14
Justified multiple of revenue
1.08
39.14$M
24.96$M
676.16$M
12.00
55.1%
9.0%
226.21$M
$25.58
1,149.09$M
148.07$M
77.19M
734.55$M

Earnings basis bridge ($M)

FY2025
Cash from operations226
less capex25
less capitalized software39
= True free cash flow162
memo - FCF as commonly reported201
less stock compensation148
= Owner earnings, actual14
memo - actual owner margin1.2%
Normalized owner earnings used103
Multiple applied12.0
= Enterprise value1,241
less net debt58
= Equity value1,183
memo - justified x revenue1.08
memo - market x revenue1.77

Sources

  1. sec.gov

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