Rubrik (RBRK) - Graham-Dodd SaaS growth-multiplier valuation

Assumptions as of 2026-09-01

USD

Updated Sep 1, 2026 · Revised 1 time

as of 2026-09-01

Max justified price per share

$28.83

Upside vs market

-67.4%

Decayed 7-yr CAGR

18.0%

Justified multiple of normalized FCF

26.44

Relative growth decay per year

15.0%

Discount rate

10.0%

Entry revenue growth (FY2027E YoY, guided)

28.0%

Mature FCF margin (AFTER charging SBC in full)

12.0%

Net cash incl. marketable securities less debt ($M)

615$M

Market price ($)

$88.40

FY2027E revenue ($M, guidance midpoint)

1,689$M

Diluted shares (M)

207.2M

	FY2027E
FY2027E revenue	1,689
Decayed 7-yr CAGR	18.0%
Yr-7 revenue multiple	3.18
Terminal multiple	16.20
Justified mult. of normalized FCF	26.44
Normalized FCF	203
Enterprise value	5,360
+ Net cash	615
= Equity value	5,974
Implied EV/revenue	3.17

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