Royal Gold Forward EV EBITDA Hawk Valuation

Royal Gold Inc (RGLD)
By@hypertonx
Assumptions as of 2026-08-11
USD
Updated Aug 11, 2026 · Revised 1 time
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Royal Gold Forward EV EBITDA Hawk Valuation

Forward EV/adjusted EBITDA valuation refreshed after Royal Gold's Q2 2026 earnings release, 10-Q, and conference call. The model keeps the existing production-volume and multiple framework, moves copper and other-metals assumptions toward the high end of guidance, updates balance-sheet/share-count inputs, and anchors normalized metal prices to the elevated Q2/H1 realized environment.

as of 2026-08-11

Fair value per share
$242.16
Upside or downside to current price
-7.3%
2026 estimated revenue in millions
$1791.5
2026 estimated adjusted EBITDA in millions
$1486.9
Implied equity value in millions
$20547.2
0.83
5.75
25.00
261.37
Latest RGLD quote · updated Sep 8, 2026 2:00 PM MDT
84.85
14.00
4,500.00
305,000.00
270.00
38.00
73.00
3.25

Sources

  1. Q2 2026 revenue was $450.5 million, sales volume was 100,000 GEOs, adjusted EBITDA margin was 83%, operating cash flow was $335.2 million, gold contributed 76% of revenue, and 2026 gold and silver guidance remained on track while copper and other metals were trending around or above the high end of their ranges. — storage.googleapis.com (accessed 2026-08-11)
  2. The Q2 2026 10-Q reported $182.5 million of cash, $400.0 million of debt before a July 15 repayment, 84.673 million shares outstanding at June 30, and 84.728 million shares outstanding as of July 29, 2026. — sec.gov (accessed 2026-08-11)
  3. On the Q2 2026 call, management described a diversified portfolio with no asset above 13% of revenue, reaffirmed balanced H2 expectations, noted copper and other-metals upside is partly driven by Antamina NPI volatility, and said further share repurchases depend on competing capital-allocation priorities. — royalgold.com (accessed 2026-08-11)

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