Elastic FY2027 EV/revenue Hawk valuation

Elastic (ESTC)
By@hypertonx
Assumptions as of 2026-08-25
USD
Updated Aug 25, 2026 · Revised 1 time
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Elastic FY2027 EV/revenue Hawk valuation

as of 2026-08-25

Fair value / share
$99.65
Upside/downside to last price
25.7%
Implied enterprise value
$9.96
Implied equity value
$10.76
Net cash used in valuation
$0.80

Market

$79.25
Latest ESTC quote · updated Aug 26, 2026 2:00 PM MDT

Revenue

$1.993$B

Shares

108.0M

Valuation

5

Sources

  1. Elastic guided FY2027 total revenue to $1.985B-$2.000B (14.6% YoY at the midpoint), sales-led subscription to $1.673B-$1.688B, non-GAAP operating margin to approximately 19%, and adjusted FCF margin to approximately 21.5%, assuming 107.5-108.5 million diluted weighted-average shares. Q1 FY2027 revenue was guided to $469M-$470M. — sec.gov
  2. For the year ended April 30, 2026, Elastic reported total revenue of $1.739B (+17% YoY), Q4 revenue of $451M (+16% YoY), FY2026 non-GAAP operating margin of 16.4%, adjusted FCF of $346M (20% margin), and Rule of 40 of 37%. — sec.gov
  3. As of April 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $768.725M, marketable securities $601.537M (combined $1.370B), and long-term debt net $570.895M. Ordinary shares outstanding were 104,751,470. — sec.gov
  4. On June 23, 2026 Elastic committed to a ~7% workforce reduction with expected non-recurring cash charges of $22M-$25M, mostly in Q1 FY2027, while still expecting net headcount growth for the year. CPO Ken Exner resigned effective July 17, 2026. — sec.gov
  5. Scenario multiples keep a SaaS EV/FY2027-revenue framework: bear 3.5x, base 5.0x, bull 6.5x, reflecting 14.6% guided growth, 19% FY2027 operating-margin guide, 21.5% adjusted FCF-margin guide, and the FY2029 Rule-of-40 path. — sec.gov
  6. Q1 FY2027 results (quarter ended July 31, 2026) are scheduled after the U.S. close on Thursday, August 27, 2026, with a conference call at 2:00 p.m. PT / 3:00 p.m. MT. — ir.elastic.co

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