Meta Platforms five-year FCF DCF valuation

Meta Platforms Inc. (META)
By@hypertonx
Assumptions as of 2026-08-04
USD
Updated Aug 4, 2026 · Revised 2 times
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Meta Platforms five-year FCF DCF valuation

as of 2026-08-04

FY2026E revenue
249.2
FY2026E free cash flow
13.7
Enterprise value
1,415
Equity value
1,421
Fair value per share
$553.90
Upside/downside to current price
-7.5%

Capital Structure

90.3$B
83.7$B
2.566B

Market

$599.12
Latest META quote · updated Aug 11, 2026 2:00 PM MDT

Operating Forecast

FY2026EFY2027EFY2028EFY2029EFY2030E
Free cash flow margin
Revenue growth

Starting Point

201.0$B

Valuation

8.5%
3.0%

Sources

  1. Q2 2026 revenue was $60.801B, operating cash flow was $31.862B, free cash flow was $0.784B, and capital expenditures including finance lease principal payments were $31.08B. — sec.gov
  2. Meta guided Q3 2026 revenue to $61B-$64B, full-year 2026 expenses to $165B-$169B, and full-year 2026 capital expenditures including finance lease principal payments to $130B-$145B. — sec.gov
  3. At June 30, 2026, cash and marketable securities were $90.260B and long-term debt was $83.664B. — sec.gov
  4. Q2 2026 diluted weighted-average shares were 2.566B; Class A and Class B shares outstanding were 2.548B as of July 24, 2026. — sec.gov
  5. Management attributed stronger ad pricing to demand and ad performance improvements, while higher cost of revenue and R&D reflected infrastructure and AI-related spending. — sec.gov
  6. The Q2 2026 earnings call emphasized that AI investments are improving advertising performance and that Meta is investing aggressively in compute infrastructure to meet AI demand. — s21.q4cdn.com

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