Arm Holdings forward revenue valuation

Sources

1. October 8 Model Edge reference ARM price $275.29, refreshed 2026-10-08T15:00:50.565953-06:00. Market-relative outputs use this quote; intrinsic assumptions only change on evidence. (accessed 2026-10-08)
2. October 2 Model Edge reference ARM quote $307.49, refreshed 2026-10-02T17:10:08.226513-06:00. Price alone is not evidence to change operating forecasts; BRUN separately refreshes the existing peer-relative valuation. (accessed 2026-10-02)
3. October 2: reference ADS price rose 5.18% to $307.49. Broad AI/chip sentiment is market context, not a confirmed sole company-specific cause. Arm's September 28 agentic-AI/Neoverse/BlueField article was already reviewed and contains no new royalty, revenue or margin guidance. Keep $6B normalized revenue, 45x sales and 1,087.6M shares, base $248.2530. — newsroom.arm.com (accessed 2026-10-02)
4. September 28 Modeledge reference ARM stock price $283.33, retrieved 2026-09-28T16:46:39.061634-06:00; a post-session reference snapshot, not an asserted official close. Operating assumptions are unchanged except separately documented updates. (accessed 2026-09-28)
5. September 28: investigated the 8.70% decline. Arm's agentic-compute security article describes its role in NVIDIA's platform without new quantified sales, royalties or margin guidance. Broader AI-market weakness is contextual, not a proven sole cause. Preserve $6B forward revenue, 45x equity sales and 1,087.6M diluted shares; previously reviewed CFO sale is not fresh dilution. — newsroom.arm.com (accessed 2026-09-28)
6. Additional supporting record for the September 28 ARM review. — streetinsider.com (accessed 2026-09-28)
7. September 24: shares fell 7.88%; no verified new operating guidance explains the entire move. Form 4 0001973239-26-000136 confirms CFO Jason Child sold 10,400 ADS at $300 on September 21 under a May 22 Rule 10b5-1 plan; these are secondary transactions, not issuer dilution. Keep $6B forward revenue, 45x equity P/S and 1,087.6M shares. UK statutory annual and historical financial/capital review remain incomplete. — sec.gov (accessed 2026-09-24)
8. September 24 reference ARM price $306.34; quote refresh timestamp 2026-09-24T15:15:27.611765-06:00. This changes market-relative outputs; price alone does not change operating assumptions. (accessed 2026-09-24)
9. September 14 company-specific filing/press discovery and market-news checks did not establish a new operating forecast or capital-structure change. Preserve the existing intrinsic assumptions; continue the model's unresolved refresh checklist. (accessed 2026-09-14)
10. September 14 Modeledge reference ARM share price $239.01 retrieved after the regular U.S. close. Quote updates affect market-relative outputs; forecast changes, if any, are separately identified. (accessed 2026-09-14)
11. Arm reported fiscal 2026 revenue of $4.92 billion, up from $4.01 billion in fiscal 2025, including $2.61 billion of royalty revenue. — sec.gov (accessed 2026-07-18)