ASIX EV/EBITDA normalized valuation

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX)
By@hypertonx
Assumptions as of 2026-08-07
USD
Updated Aug 7, 2026 · Revised 1 time
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ASIX EV/EBITDA normalized valuation

Q2 2026 refresh of AdvanSix's normalized EV/EBITDA valuation. Trailing adjusted EBITDA fell to about $86M after a $31.9M Q2 result, triggering a reassessment of the prior $170M normalized base. The revised $140M base still gives credit for management's expected second-half improvement and lower capex, but recognizes record sulfur costs, soft Plant Nutrients demand, and subdued industrial demand.

as of 2026-08-07

Fair value
$17.56
Upside/downside
4.9%
Enterprise value
$742.0
Equity value
$474.2

Balance Sheet

267.78$M

Capitalization

27.00M shares

Market

16.74USD/share
Latest ASIX quote · updated Aug 11, 2026 2:00 PM MDT

Operating

140.00$M

Valuation

5.30x

Fair value sensitivity

Normalized adjusted EBITDA4.50 x5.00 x5.30 x5.80 x6.30 x
100.00 $M$6.75$8.60$9.71$11.56$13.41
120.00 $M$10.08$12.30$13.64$15.86$18.08
140.00 $M$13.41$16.01$17.56$20.16$22.75
155.00 $M$15.91$18.78$20.51$23.38$26.25
170.00 $M$18.41$21.56$23.45$26.60$29.75

Sources

  1. Q2 2026 sales were $421.3M, adjusted EBITDA was $31.9M, capex was $20.7M, and 2026 capex guidance remained $75M-$95M. — sec.gov (accessed 2026-08-07)
  2. June 30 balance sheet reported $7.217M cash, $275.0M line-of-credit debt, and 27.001186M shares outstanding. — sec.gov (accessed 2026-08-07)
  3. Management expects second-half EBITDA and cash-flow improvement but cited record sulfur costs, soft fertilizer demand, and stable-to-soft nylon end markets. — modeledge.ai (accessed 2026-08-07)

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