ASIX EV/EBITDA normalized valuation

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX)
By@hypertonx
Assumptions as of 2026-08-17
USD
Updated Aug 26, 2026 · Revised 3 times
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ASIX EV/EBITDA normalized valuation

Q2 2026 refresh of AdvanSix's normalized EV/EBITDA valuation. Trailing adjusted EBITDA fell to about $86M after a $31.9M Q2 result, triggering a reassessment of the prior $170M normalized base. The revised $140M base still gives credit for management's expected second-half improvement and lower capex, but recognizes record sulfur costs, soft Plant Nutrients demand, and subdued industrial demand.

as of 2026-08-17

Fair value
$17.18
Upside/downside
5.8%
Enterprise value
$742.0
Equity value
$464.0

Balance Sheet

278.00$M

Capitalization

27.00M shares

Market

16.24USD/share
Latest ASIX quote · updated Oct 9, 2026 2:00 PM MDT

Operating

140.00$M

Valuation

5.30x

Fair value sensitivity

Normalized adjusted EBITDA4.50 x5.00 x5.30 x5.80 x6.30 x
100.00 $M$6.37$8.22$9.33$11.18$13.04
120.00 $M$9.70$11.93$13.26$15.48$17.70
140.00 $M$13.04$15.63$17.18$19.78$22.37
155.00 $M$15.54$18.41$20.13$23.00$25.87
170.00 $M$18.04$21.18$23.07$26.22$29.37

Sources

  1. AdvanSix closed a new $275M revolver and $150M term loan, drawing $145M and $150M respectively; pro forma cash was about $17M after refinancing costs. — sec.gov (accessed 2026-08-17)
  2. Q2 2026 sales were $421.3M, adjusted EBITDA was $31.9M, capex was $20.7M, and 2026 capex guidance remained $75M-$95M. — sec.gov (accessed 2026-08-07)
  3. The Q2 2026 Form 10-Q reported $7.217M cash, $275.0M line-of-credit debt, and 27.001186M common shares outstanding at July 31, 2026. — sec.gov (accessed 2026-08-12)
  4. Management expects second-half EBITDA and cash-flow improvement but cited record sulfur costs, soft fertilizer demand, and stable-to-soft nylon end markets. (accessed 2026-08-12)

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