Liftoff Mobile 2026 forward adjusted EBITDA valuation

Liftoff Mobile, Inc. (LFTO)
By@hypertonx
Assumptions as of 2026-10-09
USD
Updated Oct 9, 2026 · Revised 3 times
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Liftoff Mobile 2026 forward adjusted EBITDA valuation

as of 2026-10-09

Fair value per share
$23.70
Upside / downside
53.8%
FY2026 revenue ($M)
$876
FY2026 adjusted EBITDA ($M)
$514
Implied enterprise value ($M)
$5,144
Implied equity value ($M)
$4,012

Capital structure

169.33M
1,131.17$M

Market

15.41$/share
Latest LFTO quote · updated Oct 9, 2026 2:00 PM MDT

Operating

58.7%
27.7%

Reported

685.70$M

Valuation

10.00x

Sources

  1. October 9 Model Edge reference LFTO price $15.41, timestamp 2026-10-09T15:02:40.625028-06:00; operating assumptions unchanged. (accessed 2026-10-09)
  2. October 9 -4.58% investigated through company-specific filing/transcript discovery and web search; no verified fresh operating catalyst found. Preserve existing FY2026 growth 27.694%, adjusted EBITDA margin 58.743%, 10x multiple, $1,131.165M face-value net debt and 169.330527M common-share anchor. Current price $15.41 refreshes upside only. No unsupported peer rerating or inferred guidance cut. — modeledge.ai (accessed 2026-10-09)
  3. September 10 Modeledge reference share price $17.55; market price alone is not used to revise operating forecasts. (accessed 2026-09-10)
  4. Q2 10-Q reports $1,436.563M debt principal versus $1,410.699M after issuance costs and $305.398M cash. Correct net debt to $1,131.165M, adding back $25.864M debt issuance costs. Existing full-year revenue/EBITDA assumptions already approximate the $875M/$514M guidance midpoints. The 169.330527M model share count is common shares, not a completed treasury-stock diluted count. — modeledge.ai (accessed 2026-09-10)
  5. Q2 2026 revenue was $220M and adjusted EBITDA was $132M. FY2026 guidance is $870M-$880M of revenue and $510M-$518M of adjusted EBITDA. — investors.liftoff.ai (accessed 2026-08-12)
  6. At June 30, 2026, cash was $305.398M, current and long-term debt totaled $1.410699B, and 169.330527M common shares were outstanding. — sec.gov (accessed 2026-08-12)

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