CVR Energy SOTP Mid-Cycle Refining Valuation

CVR Energy Inc (CVI)
By@hypertonx
Assumptions as of 2026-08-05
USD
Updated Aug 5, 2026 · Revised 1 time
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CVR Energy SOTP Mid-Cycle Refining Valuation

as of 2026-08-05

Normalized petroleum EBITDA
$677
Implied equity value
$2,956
Fair value / share
$29.41
Upside / downside
-13.6%

Balance sheet

$620$M

Market

$34.05
Latest CVI quote · updated Aug 11, 2026 2:00 PM MDT

Petroleum operating case

$6.00
210,000bpd
$90$M
$16.00

Valuation

-$300$M
5
$493$M

Sources

  1. CVR Energy Q2 2026 release reported adjusted EBITDA of $209M, petroleum adjusted EBITDA of $106M, petroleum throughput of 212,965 bpd, adjusted refining margin of $12.43/bbl, and direct operating expense of $5.93/bbl. — sec.gov
  2. CVR Energy Q2 2026 release reported consolidated cash of $737M, total debt and finance lease obligations of $1.783B, $570M of debt held by the nitrogen fertilizer segment, and $137M of fertilizer segment cash. — sec.gov
  3. Q3 2026 outlook called for petroleum throughput of 205,000-220,000 bpd, petroleum direct operating expenses of $110M-$120M, and lower fertilizer utilization from the East Dubuque turnaround. — sec.gov
  4. Q2 2026 call transcript discussed RIN pressure, including $216M of net RIN expense, a $408M accrued RFS obligation, $81M of realized hedge losses, and management's focus on debt reduction toward $1B gross leverage excluding CVR Partners. — stockanalysis.com
  5. CVI market price was about $33.33 and UAN market capitalization was about $1.33B around the August 5, 2026 refresh; CVI owns approximately 37% of CVR Partners common units. — stockanalysis.com

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