Methanex EV/EBITDA valuation

Methanex Corporation (MEOH)
By@hypertonx
Assumptions as of 2026-08-04
USD
Updated Aug 3, 2026 · Revised 1 time
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Methanex EV/EBITDA valuation

as of 2026-08-04

Normalized adjusted EBITDA
$1.30
Enterprise value
$7.80
Equity value
$5.78
Fair value per share
$74.75
Upside/downside to current price
37.6%

Balance sheet

$0.38$B
$2.40$B

Earnings power

$1.30$B

Share count

77.4M

Valuation assumptions

6.0

Normalized EV/EBITDA valuation bridge

FY2026E
Normalized adjusted EBITDA$1.30
EV / EBITDA multiple6.0
Enterprise value$7.80
Gross debt$2.40
Cash$0.38
Net debt$2.02
Equity value$5.78
Diluted shares77.4
Fair value per share$74.75

Sources

  1. Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA was $577M, average realized price was $529/tonne, revenue was $1.395B, operating cash flow was $439M, adjusted free cash flow was $298M, and production was 2.213M tonnes. — methanex.com
  2. Methanex repaid the remaining $290M Term Loan A balance in Q2 2026 and ended June 30, 2026 with $383M of cash. — methanex.com
  3. June 30, 2026 long-term debt was $2.400B, and adjusted debt was $3.324B after lease, non-controlling interest, and associate adjustments. — methanex.com
  4. At July 27, 2026 Methanex had 77,364,263 common shares issued and outstanding. — methanex.com
  5. Management expected July-August 2026 average realized price of about $460-$485/tonne and expected 2026 production of about 9.0M tonnes of methanol and 0.3M tonnes of ammonia. — methanex.com
  6. Methanex investor relations page showed Nasdaq MEOH at $54.31 during this refresh. — methanex.com

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